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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.8%    TRIBUNAL 78.5%    TIER3ELO 75.7%    ELOHQ 74.3%    NEXUS 74.3%    HIGHORACLE 72.5%    TIERELO 72.2%    TIER2ELO 70.9%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-10 12:58 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier · Live · 20:00 · 2026-09-04 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
Nemesis
58.7%
64%
36%
Nemesis: $5.42 (3) · x1.55 Pool $8.42 ASTRAL: $3.00 (3) · x2.81
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
DontPlayDota
Sep 04, 17:24
Nemesis
$1.50
+$2.33
won
Emy
Sep 04, 17:01
Nemesis
$1.53
+$2.38
won
AZIDOT
Sep 04, 16:59
Nemesis
$2.39
+$3.71
won
zxy
Sep 02, 17:45
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
Forester
Sep 02, 17:39
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
nigazi
Sep 02, 17:34
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (21)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
91.7%
win probability
Nemesis
51.4%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
ASTRAL
53.2%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.7%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.0%
win probability
Nemesis
74.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
68.2%
win probability
Nemesis
67.7%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.1%
win probability
Nemesis
72.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
65.4%
win probability
Nemesis
67.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.0%
win probability
Nemesis
68.4%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
62.8%
win probability
Nemesis
64.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.0%
win probability
Nemesis
49.6%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.9%
win probability
Nemesis
65.2%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
ASTRAL
60.3%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.8%
win probability
Nemesis
74.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
67.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
55.1%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.8%
win probability
ASTRAL
59.9%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
58.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
60.2%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
60.4%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
Nemesis
62.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.4%
win probability
Nemesis
64.0%
accuracy
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