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Top models accuracy · top-tier
SENTINEL
81.0%
VANGUARD
80.0%
STRONGHOLD
78.8%
TRIBUNAL
78.5%
TIER3ELO
75.7%
ELOHQ
74.3%
NEXUS
74.3%
HIGHORACLE
72.5%
TIERELO
72.2%
TIER2ELO
70.9%
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2026-09-10 12:58 UTC
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Nemesis vs ASTRAL
Completed
Nemesis
2-1
ASTRAL
Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier · Live · 20:00 · 2026-09-04 · OTHER ·
HLTV →
Nemesis
mag1k3Y
Sdaim
tex1y
SELLTER
r3salt
ASTRAL
Neqy
meowpop
RaY5ive
gxx-
swiz
Model Consensus
based on 21 models
Nemesis
58.7%
64%
36%
Nemesis: $
5.42
(
3
) · x
1.55
Pool $
8.42
ASTRAL: $
3.00
(
3
) · x
2.81
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 6 latest
DontPlayDota
Sep 04, 17:24
Nemesis
$1.50
+$2.33
won
Emy
Sep 04, 17:01
Nemesis
$1.53
+$2.38
won
AZIDOT
Sep 04, 16:59
Nemesis
$2.39
+$3.71
won
zxy
Sep 02, 17:45
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
Forester
Sep 02, 17:39
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
nigazi
Sep 02, 17:34
ASTRAL
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (21)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
91.7%
win probability
Nemesis
51.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
ASTRAL
53.2%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.7%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.0%
win probability
Nemesis
74.3%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
68.2%
win probability
Nemesis
67.7%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.1%
win probability
Nemesis
72.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
65.4%
win probability
Nemesis
67.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.0%
win probability
Nemesis
68.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
62.8%
win probability
Nemesis
64.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.0%
win probability
Nemesis
49.6%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.9%
win probability
Nemesis
65.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
ASTRAL
60.3%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.8%
win probability
Nemesis
74.3%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
67.3%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
55.1%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.8%
win probability
ASTRAL
59.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
58.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
60.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
54.2%
win probability
Nemesis
60.4%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
Nemesis
62.0%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.4%
win probability
Nemesis
64.0%
accuracy
✓
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