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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 85.0%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    NEXUS 82.9%    TIER3ELO 81.8%    TIERELO 79.6%    TIER2ELO 76.8%    HIGHORACLE 76.0%    ELOHQ 75.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 1 · Live · 10:00 · 2026-04-02 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
HEROIC
57.8%
Model Predictions (17)
SQUAD
Player ratings
87.6%
win probability
Nemesis
60.5%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
74.3%
win probability
HEROIC
66.6%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
74.3%
win probability
HEROIC
85.2%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
70.7%
win probability
HEROIC
64.4%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
68.9%
win probability
HEROIC
85.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
67.9%
win probability
HEROIC
64.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
67.9%
win probability
Nemesis
53.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
66.6%
win probability
HEROIC
68.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
64.8%
win probability
HEROIC
68.5%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
63.5%
win probability
Nemesis
49.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.4%
win probability
HEROIC
66.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.5%
win probability
HEROIC
63.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.8%
win probability
HEROIC
67.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
56.6%
win probability
HEROIC
63.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
54.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.0%
win probability
HEROIC
75.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.0%
win probability
HEROIC
76.8%
accuracy
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