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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 07:13 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 12:00 · 2026-09-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Nemesis
61.4%
34%
66%
Nemesis: $1.48 (1) · x2.88 Pool $4.26 Rune Eaters: $2.78 (2) · x1.53
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
mazda
Sep 22, 21:03
Nemesis
$1.48
+$4.26
won
geekaisoo
Sep 22, 20:17
Rune Eaters
$1.13
lost
sliimey
Sep 22, 20:11
Rune Eaters
$1.65
lost
Model Predictions (18)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.6%
win probability
Nemesis
62.5%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.8%
win probability
Nemesis
75.1%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
70.0%
win probability
Nemesis
65.0%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.4%
win probability
Nemesis
66.4%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.4%
win probability
Nemesis
70.9%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
67.1%
win probability
Nemesis
72.9%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.8%
win probability
Nemesis
65.7%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
64.2%
win probability
Nemesis
62.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.4%
win probability
Nemesis
65.7%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
63.2%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
58.9%
win probability
Rune Eaters
52.1%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
63.9%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.7%
win probability
Nemesis
71.2%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
53.4%
win probability
Nemesis
60.6%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.8%
win probability
Nemesis
57.7%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.8%
win probability
Nemesis
58.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.8%
win probability
Nemesis
58.4%
accuracy
✓
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