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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 77.2%    VANGUARD 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.0%    TIERELO 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 71.8%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-06 09:48 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 15:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 15 models
Nemesis
56.8%
64%
36%
Nemesis: $2.40 (2) · x1.55 Pool $3.73 Sashi: $1.33 (1) · x2.80
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
nicoodoz
Sep 25, 23:13
Nemesis
$1.40
+$2.18
won
lonegopherx
Sep 25, 23:08
Nemesis
$1.00
+$1.55
won
tatazin
Sep 25, 23:02
Sashi
$1.33
lost
Model Predictions (15)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
76.9%
win probability
Nemesis
51.7%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.8%
win probability
Nemesis
60.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
61.7%
win probability
Nemesis
62.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.0%
win probability
Nemesis
66.8%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
55.6%
win probability
Nemesis
65.4%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
64.4%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
54.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.8%
win probability
Nemesis
62.7%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
54.4%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
53.6%
win probability
Nemesis
66.2%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.5%
win probability
Nemesis
57.9%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
Nemesis
58.9%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.5%
win probability
Nemesis
59.1%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.3%
win probability
Sashi
49.7%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.1%
win probability
Sashi
70.6%
accuracy
✕
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