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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 08:40 UTC · Next:
Completed
WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7Semifinal · bo3 · 16:00 · 2026-09-16 · OTHER · HLTV →

UPGRADE

Model Consensus based on 18 models
Nemesis
63.4%
69%
31%
Nemesis: $2.45 (2) · x1.43 Pool $3.51 UPGRADE: $1.06 (1) · x3.31
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
z0mb1e
Sep 15, 18:44
Nemesis
$1.15
+$1.65
won
nigazi
Sep 15, 18:36
Nemesis
$1.30
+$1.86
won
zoozix
Sep 15, 18:31
UPGRADE
$1.06
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
99.1%
win probability
Nemesis
51.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.5%
win probability
Nemesis
62.6%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
74.4%
win probability
Nemesis
60.8%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.1%
win probability
Nemesis
75.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
73.7%
win probability
Nemesis
65.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.9%
win probability
Nemesis
66.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
66.1%
win probability
Nemesis
65.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.9%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.4%
win probability
Nemesis
62.1%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
57.2%
win probability
Nemesis
73.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.8%
win probability
Nemesis
71.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.1%
win probability
Nemesis
49.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
66.3%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
54.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.9%
win probability
Nemesis
63.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.7%
win probability
Nemesis
57.6%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.7%
win probability
Nemesis
58.0%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.7%
win probability
Nemesis
58.2%
accuracy
✓
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