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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.6%    VANGUARD 77.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.7%    NEXUS 72.7%    TIERELO 72.5%    ELOHQ 72.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.6%    TIER2ELO 70.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-04 16:20 UTC · Next:
Live
Stake Ranked Episode 4Grand Final · bo5 · 16:00 · 2026-10-04 · TOP · HLTV →
52%
48%
Nemiga: $1.12 (1) · x1.89 Pool $2.12 Astralis: $1.00 (1) · x2.12
Predictions locked — match started
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Goofy
Oct 04, 14:54
Nemiga
$1.12
active
Stx
Oct 04, 14:49
Astralis
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (24)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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51.9%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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77.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Nemiga
51.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.5%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.3%
win probability
Astralis
60.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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67.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Nemiga
55.0%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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74.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.2%
win probability
Nemiga
57.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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58.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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59.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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58.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.6%
win probability
Nemiga
63.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.5%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.8%
win probability
Nemiga
49.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.7%
accuracy
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