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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 4 Closed Qualifier · Live · 19:30 · 2026-09-05 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
Nemesis
59.4%
42%
58%
Nemiga: $2.18 (2) · x2.37 Pool $5.17 Nemesis: $2.99 (2) · x1.73
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
AZIDOT
Sep 05, 17:02
Nemesis
$1.75
lost
mazda
Sep 04, 21:19
Nemiga
$1.00
+$2.37
won
StreakN
Sep 04, 21:07
Nemiga
$1.18
+$2.80
won
Renw1e
Sep 04, 21:02
Nemesis
$1.24
lost
Model Predictions (20)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
94.7%
win probability
Nemesis
51.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Nemiga
50.6%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.7%
win probability
Nemesis
60.4%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.5%
win probability
Nemesis
64.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.0%
win probability
Nemesis
65.1%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
62.3%
win probability
Nemesis
74.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.5%
win probability
Nemesis
64.9%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
61.1%
win probability
Nemesis
63.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
60.4%
win probability
Nemesis
61.9%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Nemesis
54.5%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.2%
win probability
Nemesis
49.8%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.9%
win probability
Nemesis
65.0%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
58.6%
win probability
Nemesis
70.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
57.8%
win probability
Nemesis
57.0%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.7%
win probability
Nemesis
61.6%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
56.4%
win probability
Nemesis
65.5%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
58.1%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
57.8%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
Nemesis
58.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.2%
win probability
Nemesis
69.8%
accuracy
✕
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