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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 82.4%    SENTINEL 81.4%    VANGUARD 81.4%    NEXUS 75.7%    TIER3ELO 75.2%    TIERELO 73.2%    ELOHQ 72.4%    TIER2ELO 71.5%    HIGHORACLE 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-17 21:03 UTC · Next:
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Stake Ranked Episode 3 · bo3 · 12:00 · 2026-07-18 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 5 models
K27
59.4%
45%
55%
Ninjas in Pyjamas: $1.67 (1) · x2.20 Pool $3.67 K27: $2.00 (2) · x1.84
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
tomate
Jul 17, 19:24
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.67
active
HorizoN
Jul 17, 19:08
K27
$1.00
active
r3salt
Jul 17, 19:02
K27
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (21)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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50.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.0%
win probability
K27
58.9%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
K27
53.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
62.8%
win probability
K27
50.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.6%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
58.2%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.9%
win probability
K27
60.1%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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64.2%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.4%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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63.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.5%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.2%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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64.4%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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65.1%
accuracy
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