Last refresh: 2026-08-31 22:09 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 22 models
Spirit
70.6%
OG: $3.83 (3) · x4.70
Pool $18.02
Spirit: $14.19 (6) · x1.27
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 9 latest
K
Kost9N
Jul 23, 14:04
Spirit
$1.00
+$1.27
won
DontPlayDota
Jul 23, 14:02
Spirit
$2.00
+$2.54
won
FxRE
Jul 20, 18:18
Spirit
$4.78
+$6.07
won
777
Jul 20, 18:18
Spirit
$1.37
+$1.74
won
IamYourDaddy
Jul 20, 18:18
Spirit
$2.04
+$2.59
won
Shawk
Jul 20, 18:18
OG
$1.24
lost
hazr
Jul 20, 18:18
OG
$1.48
lost
indoubt
Jul 20, 18:18
OG
$1.11
lost
UnderDOG
Jul 18, 09:36
Spirit
$3.00
+$3.81
won
Model Predictions (22)
ELO
Team ELO rating
94.5%
win probability
Spirit
66.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
91.6%
win probability
Spirit
60.1%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
89.3%
win probability
Spirit
80.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
86.4%
win probability
Spirit
67.6%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
84.1%
win probability
Spirit
64.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
82.2%
win probability
Spirit
80.6%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
75.4%
win probability
Spirit
68.3%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
72.2%
win probability
Spirit
77.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
69.8%
win probability
Spirit
66.6%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
69.1%
win probability
Spirit
74.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
69.1%
win probability
Spirit
69.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
Spirit
54.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
65.3%
win probability
Spirit
74.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.2%
win probability
Spirit
69.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.4%
win probability
Spirit
59.4%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
61.2%
win probability
Spirit
52.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
60.5%
win probability
Spirit
71.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.8%
win probability
Spirit
49.6%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
59.4%
win probability
Spirit
73.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
56.6%
win probability
Spirit
75.2%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
56.0%
win probability
OG
49.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.6%
win probability
Spirit
61.3%
accuracy