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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:16 UTC · Next:
Completed
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · Live · 17:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →

Privateer

Model Consensus based on 19 models
mellren
64.9%
36%
64%
Privateer: $1.79 (1) · x2.77 Pool $4.96 mellren: $3.17 (3) · x1.56
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
EXP
Sep 26, 13:39
mellren
$1.00
+$1.56
won
r3salt
Sep 26, 02:05
Privateer
$1.79
lost
Xom
Sep 26, 01:59
mellren
$1.00
+$1.56
won
idl3crow
Sep 26, 01:54
mellren
$1.17
+$1.83
won
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
94.7%
win probability
mellren
52.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
81.3%
win probability
mellren
62.9%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
78.9%
win probability
mellren
60.1%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
77.9%
win probability
mellren
77.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
74.6%
win probability
mellren
65.5%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
73.1%
win probability
mellren
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
66.8%
win probability
mellren
66.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
64.2%
win probability
mellren
58.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
64.2%
win probability
mellren
58.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
64.2%
win probability
mellren
58.7%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
62.1%
win probability
mellren
48.8%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
61.5%
win probability
mellren
74.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
60.7%
win probability
mellren
59.2%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.9%
win probability
mellren
64.4%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.4%
win probability
Privateer
66.6%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.1%
win probability
mellren
66.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.3%
win probability
mellren
72.5%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
56.1%
win probability
mellren
67.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.7%
win probability
Privateer
63.4%
accuracy
✕
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