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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-02 03:32 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier · Live · 17:00 · 2026-05-03 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
100 Thieves
60.3%
66%
34%
Sharks: $68.81 (1) · x1.51 Pool $104.21 100 Thieves: $35.40 (2) · x2.94
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
sliimey
May 03, 09:14
100 Thieves
$31.48
lost
AZIDOT
May 02, 22:13
Sharks
$68.81
+$104.21
won
Kizzzi
May 02, 21:33
100 Thieves
$3.92
lost
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
76.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.2%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
71.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
64.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.0%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
58.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
58.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
Sharks
51.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.0%
accuracy
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