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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.2%    STRONGHOLD 74.3%    TIER3ELO 72.5%    VANGUARD 72.2%    TRIBUNAL 70.7%    NEXUS 70.3%    ELOHQ 70.0%    TIERELO 69.8%    HIGHORACLE 69.0%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-11-07 02:47 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Live · 18:00 · 2026-09-25 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
SINNERS
60.6%
62%
38%
SINNERS: $3.15 (3) · x1.60 Pool $5.03 ex-RUBY: $1.88 (1) · x2.68
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
kR4ken
Sep 23, 02:54
ex-RUBY
$1.88
+$5.03
won
indoubt
Sep 22, 21:41
SINNERS
$1.12
lost
HorizoN
Sep 22, 21:41
SINNERS
$1.03
lost
hazr
Sep 22, 21:41
SINNERS
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (17)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
91.2%
win probability
SINNERS
51.9%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.2%
win probability
SINNERS
62.3%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.7%
win probability
SINNERS
69.0%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
66.9%
win probability
SINNERS
64.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
SINNERS
55.3%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
61.6%
win probability
SINNERS
70.7%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.9%
win probability
SINNERS
57.7%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
58.9%
win probability
SINNERS
58.0%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
58.9%
win probability
SINNERS
58.1%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.8%
win probability
SINNERS
64.4%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.7%
win probability
SINNERS
50.7%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
58.1%
win probability
SINNERS
64.0%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
56.4%
win probability
ex-RUBY
64.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.8%
win probability
SINNERS
65.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
54.6%
win probability
SINNERS
64.5%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.9%
win probability
SINNERS
59.3%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.4%
win probability
SINNERS
70.0%
accuracy
✕
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