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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.6%    STRONGHOLD 77.1%    VANGUARD 75.9%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 72.0%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-05 18:27 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 3 · Live · 11:00 · 2026-04-06 · OTHER · HLTV →

Skele

motion motion sunshinez sunshinez neo neo Oath Oath tidy tidy
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Skele
57.9%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (18)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
89.1%
win probability
Skele
62.8%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
85.5%
win probability
Skele
60.5%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Skele
51.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
71.1%
win probability
Skele
54.7%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
68.6%
win probability
Rooster
66.7%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
68.6%
win probability
Skele
49.6%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.2%
win probability
Rooster
66.2%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.9%
win probability
Rooster
66.9%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
62.0%
win probability
Skele
59.0%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.0%
win probability
Skele
57.8%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
62.0%
win probability
Skele
58.8%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
61.6%
win probability
Skele
65.4%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.5%
win probability
Rooster
62.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
57.6%
win probability
Skele
66.1%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.9%
win probability
Skele
59.8%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
Skele
59.0%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.7%
win probability
Skele
64.3%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.9%
win probability
Skele
71.9%
accuracy
✕
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