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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 76.6%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 74.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 71.7%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIERELO 71.6%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-07 00:08 UTC · Next:
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ESL Pro League Season 24 · bo3 · 17:00 · 2026-10-07 · TOP · HLTV →
starts in …
Model Consensus based on 6 models
Spirit
66.6%
80%
20%
Spirit: $12.09 (3) · x1.24 Pool $14.95 M80: $2.86 (2) · x5.23
If win: — potential payout If win: —
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
FxRE
Oct 06, 23:11
Spirit
$4.67
active
777
Oct 06, 23:11
Spirit
$4.90
active
IamYourDaddy
Oct 06, 23:11
Spirit
$2.52
active
zoozix
Oct 06, 22:16
M80
$1.47
active
Dukalis
Oct 06, 22:05
M80
$1.39
active
Model Predictions (27)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.6%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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75.3%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.2%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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51.9%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
79.1%
win probability
Spirit
51.3%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
78.4%
win probability
Spirit
60.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.9%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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76.6%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.1%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
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72.8%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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66.7%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
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71.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Spirit
54.7%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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74.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
60.8%
win probability
Spirit
62.7%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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71.6%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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71.7%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.5%
win probability
Spirit
57.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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58.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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58.9%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.5%
win probability
Spirit
49.5%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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58.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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74.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.8%
accuracy
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