Last refresh: 2026-10-27 10:41 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 19 models
STATE
59.5%
STATE: $1.23 (1) · x2.82
Pool $3.47
Fortress: $2.24 (2) · x1.55
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
hazr
Jul 24, 01:14
STATE
$1.23
+$3.47
won
Shawk
Jul 24, 01:14
Fortress
$1.00
lost
indoubt
Jul 24, 01:14
Fortress
$1.24
lost
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
98.7%
win probability
STATE
51.6%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.3%
win probability
STATE
61.9%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
67.9%
win probability
STATE
49.8%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.3%
win probability
STATE
60.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
64.4%
win probability
STATE
64.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
62.3%
win probability
STATE
54.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
61.0%
win probability
STATE
57.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.5%
win probability
STATE
65.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.1%
win probability
STATE
63.4%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
57.5%
win probability
Fortress
65.5%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
57.2%
win probability
STATE
70.9%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
STATE
58.9%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.7%
win probability
Fortress
61.6%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
55.6%
win probability
STATE
65.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
STATE
58.1%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
STATE
57.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
STATE
57.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.8%
win probability
STATE
69.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
53.3%
win probability
STATE
64.9%
accuracy