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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 76.9%    STRONGHOLD 74.8%    TIER3ELO 73.0%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.8%    NEXUS 71.4%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.8%    HIGHORACLE 69.6%    TIER2ELO 68.7%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-24 17:12 UTC · Next:
Live
Hotspawn Showdown 2026 Finals · Live · 18:25 · 2026-10-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 5 models
STATE
62.7%
40%
60%
STATE: $1.00 (1) · x2.44 Pool $2.44 The Last Resort: $1.44 (1) · x1.69
Predictions locked — match started
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
oddmitten
Oct 24, 14:47
STATE
$1.00
active
nesh
Oct 24, 14:35
The Last Reso…
$1.44
active
Model Predictions (23)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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51.9%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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61.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
74.1%
win probability
STATE
60.2%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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72.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
STATE
54.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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65.2%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.5%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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71.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.3%
win probability
STATE
61.4%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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65.0%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
57.9%
win probability
STATE
57.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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57.8%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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58.1%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.9%
win probability
STATE
50.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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63.3%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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70.1%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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69.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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68.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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73.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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57.2%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.2%
accuracy
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