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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 84.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    STRONGHOLD 81.1%    VANGUARD 80.8%    NEXUS 76.3%    TIER3ELO 74.3%    ELOHQ 73.4%    TIERELO 73.2%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIER2ELO 71.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-12 21:28 UTC · Next:
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Exort Fiesta Series 1 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 19:00 · 2026-08-13 · OTHER · HLTV →
starts in
38%
62%
Subtop De France: $1.76 (1) · x2.63 Pool $4.63 Vexar: $2.87 (2) · x1.61
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
timo
Aug 12, 20:13
Subtop De Fra…
$1.76
active
Viresse
Aug 12, 19:41
Vexar
$1.31
active
z3ndy
Aug 12, 19:36
Vexar
$1.56
active
Model Predictions (23)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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48.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.8%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.8%
win probability
Subtop De France
60.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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80.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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66.1%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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68.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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67.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.8%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
60.0%
win probability
Vexar
64.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Vexar
53.3%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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83.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.5%
win probability
Vexar
59.1%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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61.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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66.3%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.0%
win probability
Vexar
48.5%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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63.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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68.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.2%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.3%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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74.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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61.8%
accuracy
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