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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 07:41 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESN Fall Showdown 2026Playoffs · Live · 09:15 · 2026-10-04 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
5star
59.9%
33%
67%
The Huns: $1.00 (1) · x3.01 Pool $3.01 5star: $2.01 (2) · x1.50
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Oli
Oct 04, 05:54
5star
$1.00
lost
k1to
Oct 03, 12:26
The Huns
$1.00
+$3.01
won
PoGy
Oct 03, 12:21
5star
$1.01
lost
Model Predictions (20)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
90.7%
win probability
The Huns
52.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
73.8%
win probability
5star
66.4%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
73.8%
win probability
5star
70.9%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.3%
win probability
5star
62.5%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
73.3%
win probability
5star
72.9%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
5star
51.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
72.8%
win probability
5star
65.7%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
72.1%
win probability
5star
66.3%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
71.0%
win probability
5star
62.2%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
61.0%
win probability
5star
77.0%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.8%
win probability
5star
65.0%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
58.8%
win probability
5star
63.9%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
57.4%
win probability
5star
57.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.7%
win probability
5star
65.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
The Huns
54.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.3%
win probability
The Huns
49.8%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
53.8%
win probability
5star
60.6%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.0%
win probability
The Huns
57.7%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
5star
70.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
5star
71.3%
accuracy
✕
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