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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:01 UTC · Next:
Completed
Hotspawn Showdown 2026 · Live · 18:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
The Last Resort
56.0%
48%
52%
The Last Resort: $2.07 (2) · x2.08 Pool $4.30 Famalicão: $2.23 (2) · x1.93
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
EXP
Sep 26, 14:54
The Last Reso…
$1.00
lost
StreakN
Sep 25, 18:36
Famalicão
$1.18
+$2.28
won
zxy
Sep 25, 18:24
The Last Reso…
$1.07
lost
doni
Sep 25, 18:13
Famalicão
$1.05
+$2.02
won
Model Predictions (21)
SQUAD
Player ratings
91.6%
win probability
Famalicão
60.1%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
80.8%
win probability
Famalicão
52.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
75.3%
win probability
The Last Resort
62.9%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
70.3%
win probability
The Last Resort
77.6%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.4%
win probability
The Last Resort
65.5%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
The Last Resort
54.9%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
64.1%
win probability
The Last Resort
48.8%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
63.4%
win probability
The Last Resort
76.9%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
62.6%
win probability
The Last Resort
67.2%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
61.4%
win probability
The Last Resort
64.4%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
60.9%
win probability
The Last Resort
58.0%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.2%
win probability
The Last Resort
66.2%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.5%
win probability
The Last Resort
74.9%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.3%
win probability
The Last Resort
66.5%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
The Last Resort
58.9%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.4%
win probability
Famalicão
66.6%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
The Last Resort
58.7%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
The Last Resort
59.2%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
The Last Resort
58.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.1%
win probability
The Last Resort
72.5%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.7%
win probability
The Last Resort
63.4%
accuracy
✕
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