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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 84.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.2%    STRONGHOLD 81.0%    VANGUARD 80.5%    NEXUS 76.2%    TIER3ELO 74.0%    ELOHQ 73.3%    TIERELO 73.0%    HIGHORACLE 72.9%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-12 19:15 UTC · Next:
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Esports World Cup 2026 · bo3 · 11:00 · 2026-08-15 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 6 models
Natus Vincere
59.6%
0%
100%
The MongolZ: $0 (0) · x0 Pool $3.18 Natus Vincere: $3.18 (3) · x1.00
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
hazr
Aug 12, 18:42
Natus Vincere
$1.13
active
chayJESUS
Aug 12, 18:42
Natus Vincere
$1.05
active
Ne1XXX
Aug 12, 18:42
Natus Vincere
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (26)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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48.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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67.7%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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68.2%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
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72.9%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
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76.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.3%
win probability
Natus Vincere
61.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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68.8%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
64.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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66.0%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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81.0%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
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84.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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66.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
50.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Natus Vincere
53.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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61.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
Natus Vincere
59.0%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
48.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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61.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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62.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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74.0%
accuracy
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