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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:57 UTC · Next:
Completed
Esports World Cup 2026 · Live · 16:50 · 2026-08-16 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
The MongolZ
61.6%
67%
33%
The MongolZ: $6.27 (2) · x1.48 Pool $9.27 paiN: $3.00 (3) · x3.09
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
AGL
Aug 16, 10:03
The MongolZ
$3.79
+$5.60
won
Emy
Aug 16, 08:24
The MongolZ
$2.48
+$3.67
won
chayJESUS
Aug 15, 14:00
paiN
$1.00
lost
silrak
Aug 15, 13:55
paiN
$1.00
lost
kroK
Aug 15, 13:49
paiN
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
72.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
52.0%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.5%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.6%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.2%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.9%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
66.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
77.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.2%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.6%
win probability
paiN
51.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.5%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
58.9%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
58.7%
accuracy
✓
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