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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 82.3%    VANGUARD 78.8%    STRONGHOLD 78.6%    TRIBUNAL 77.8%    TIER3ELO 75.7%    NEXUS 75.6%    ELOHQ 73.9%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.6%    TIER2ELO 71.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-08 22:10 UTC · Next:
Completed
Esports World Cup 2026 · Live · 16:50 · 2026-08-16 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
The MongolZ
61.6%
67%
33%
The MongolZ: $6.27 (2) · x1.48 Pool $9.27 paiN: $3.00 (3) · x3.09
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
AGL
Aug 16, 10:03
The MongolZ
$3.79
+$5.60
won
Emy
Aug 16, 08:24
The MongolZ
$2.48
+$3.67
won
chayJESUS
Aug 15, 14:00
paiN
$1.00
lost
silrak
Aug 15, 13:55
paiN
$1.00
lost
kroK
Aug 15, 13:49
paiN
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
72.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
52.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.4%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.8%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
75.6%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.2%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.2%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
66.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
78.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.3%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.5%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.6%
win probability
paiN
53.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.2%
accuracy
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