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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 07:24 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Live · 14:00 · 2026-09-21 · OTHER · HLTV →

UPGRADE

Illyrians

Model Consensus based on 11 models
UPGRADE
63.5%
31%
69%
UPGRADE: $1.00 (1) · x3.19 Pool $3.19 Illyrians: $2.19 (2) · x1.46
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
seberya
Sep 19, 20:22
Illyrians
$1.19
+$1.73
won
fuzenko
Sep 19, 19:40
Illyrians
$1.00
+$1.46
won
nigazi
Sep 19, 19:33
UPGRADE
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (11)
SQUAD
Player ratings
91.0%
win probability
UPGRADE
60.8%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
69.5%
win probability
UPGRADE
66.3%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
69.5%
win probability
UPGRADE
71.1%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
65.5%
win probability
UPGRADE
62.6%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.4%
win probability
UPGRADE
62.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.5%
win probability
UPGRADE
66.0%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
60.4%
win probability
UPGRADE
65.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.8%
win probability
UPGRADE
65.8%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.8%
win probability
UPGRADE
66.3%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.1%
win probability
UPGRADE
71.3%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
52.5%
win probability
UPGRADE
54.9%
accuracy
✕
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