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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.4%    TRIBUNAL 78.3%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 74.1%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-12 07:26 UTC · Next:
Completed
NSTLGA League Season 2 · Live · 21:05 · 2026-09-06 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
Without a Roof
59.9%
59%
41%
Wanted Goons: $2.08 (2) · x1.69 Pool $3.52 Without a Roof: $1.44 (1) · x2.44
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Tw1nk1e17
Sep 06, 04:36
Without a Roof
$1.44
+$3.52
won
crow89
Sep 06, 04:31
Wanted Goons
$1.00
lost
Hanka
Sep 06, 04:20
Wanted Goons
$1.08
lost
Model Predictions (20)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
85.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
51.8%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
77.7%
win probability
Without a Roof
63.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.0%
win probability
Without a Roof
79.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
66.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
55.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
66.5%
win probability
Without a Roof
49.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
66.2%
win probability
Without a Roof
66.1%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
64.7%
win probability
Wanted Goons
60.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
64.1%
win probability
Without a Roof
58.8%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
64.0%
win probability
Without a Roof
78.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
61.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
65.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
67.0%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
58.9%
win probability
Without a Roof
78.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.5%
win probability
Without a Roof
67.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
57.3%
win probability
Wanted Goons
66.8%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Without a Roof
60.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Without a Roof
60.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
61.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Without a Roof
60.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.3%
win probability
Without a Roof
74.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.5%
win probability
Wanted Goons
63.8%
accuracy
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