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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 06:05 UTC · Next:
Completed
FRAG Midwest St. Louis 2026 · Live · 03:30 · 2026-08-30 · OTHER · HLTV →
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (16)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
78.1%
win probability
Without a Roof
62.5%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
74.8%
win probability
Wanted Goons
60.6%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
63.6%
win probability
Without a Roof
63.9%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
62.3%
win probability
Without a Roof
54.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.2%
win probability
Without a Roof
49.8%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
60.7%
win probability
Wanted Goons
66.3%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.3%
win probability
Without a Roof
65.0%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
58.9%
win probability
Wanted Goons
52.1%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.4%
win probability
Without a Roof
66.4%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
56.4%
win probability
Without a Roof
74.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.1%
win probability
Without a Roof
65.7%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
57.7%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
58.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.8%
win probability
Without a Roof
58.4%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
55.7%
win probability
Without a Roof
65.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.4%
win probability
Without a Roof
71.2%
accuracy
✓
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