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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.8%    STRONGHOLD 76.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    VANGUARD 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 73.0%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 71.2%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-17 06:37 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Live · 20:00 · 2026-09-21 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 16 models
WW
63.4%
57%
43%
WW: $2.66 (2) · x1.75 Pool $4.66 Phantom Academy: $2.00 (2) · x2.33
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Sep 21, 16:54
WW
$1.00
+$1.75
won
doto
Sep 19, 19:52
WW
$1.66
+$2.91
won
idl3crow
Sep 19, 19:40
Phantom Acade…
$1.00
lost
Zilkenberg
Sep 19, 19:33
Phantom Acade…
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (16)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
95.0%
win probability
WW
52.1%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
92.5%
win probability
WW
60.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.7%
win probability
WW
62.6%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.5%
win probability
WW
70.7%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
66.8%
win probability
WW
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.9%
win probability
WW
65.1%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.8%
win probability
WW
62.2%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
60.5%
win probability
WW
65.9%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.6%
win probability
WW
73.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.2%
win probability
WW
65.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
WW
54.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.1%
win probability
WW
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.8%
win probability
WW
71.2%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.9%
win probability
WW
57.5%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.9%
win probability
WW
57.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.9%
win probability
WW
57.9%
accuracy
✓
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