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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.4%    TRIBUNAL 78.3%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 74.1%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-12 09:58 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 12:00 · 2026-04-03 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
100 Thieves
61.1%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (17)
SQUAD
Player ratings
95.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.1%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
78.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.1%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
67.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
55.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
K27
49.8%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.2%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.5%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
K27
53.0%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.9%
accuracy
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