APEX

ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)

80.6%

win probability

Aurora

66.9%

accuracy

✓

SURGE

Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters

79.9%

win probability

K27

51.8%

accuracy

✕

NEXUS

APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

79.5%

win probability

Aurora

74.3%

accuracy

✓

HIGH-ORACLE

Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)

78.4%

win probability

Aurora

73.0%

accuracy

✓

ORACLE

ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

78.4%

win probability

Aurora

67.9%

accuracy

✓

PHANTOM

ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)

76.3%

win probability

Aurora

66.8%

accuracy

✓

ELO

Team ELO rating

74.3%

win probability

Aurora

66.1%

accuracy

✓

EAGLE

Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate

71.5%

win probability

Aurora

63.8%

accuracy

✓

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

70.7%

win probability

Aurora

79.0%

accuracy

✓

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

67.9%

win probability

Aurora

78.4%

accuracy

✓

WR10C

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

67.1%

win probability

Aurora

63.9%

accuracy

✓

ELOFACE

ELO + training activity

66.6%

win probability

Aurora

67.0%

accuracy

✓

WR10P

Pure win rate vs top-10

62.2%

win probability

K27

53.0%

accuracy

✕

SOS

Rank + form + opponent strength

61.6%

win probability

Aurora

65.1%

accuracy

✓

SENTINEL

Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

61.6%

win probability

Aurora

81.0%

accuracy

✓

SQUAD

Player ratings

61.3%

win probability

Aurora

60.3%

accuracy

✓

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

56.6%

win probability

Aurora

71.1%

accuracy

✓

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

56.1%

win probability

Aurora

72.5%

accuracy

✓

ELOHQ

High-confidence ELO

55.4%

win probability

Aurora

74.1%

accuracy

✓

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

54.1%

win probability

Aurora

75.9%

accuracy

✓

WR10

Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

53.0%

win probability

K27

60.5%

accuracy

✕

MIND

Psychology + tilt + H2H

53.0%

win probability

K27

49.8%

accuracy

✕