Last refresh: 2026-09-12 07:33 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 21 models
Spirit
66.8%
Spirit: $10.18 (3) · x1.29
Pool $13.18
BIG: $3.00 (3) · x4.39
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
AZIDOT
Aug 15, 16:32
Spirit
$2.28
+$2.95
won
FromBehind
Aug 15, 15:59
Spirit
$5.90
+$7.64
won
DontPlayDota
Aug 15, 15:45
Spirit
$2.00
+$2.59
won
Shawk
Aug 13, 16:09
BIG
$1.00
lost
Ne1XXX
Aug 13, 16:09
BIG
$1.00
lost
chayJESUS
Aug 13, 16:09
BIG
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (21)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
90.7%
win probability
BIG
51.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
86.2%
win probability
Spirit
66.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
83.3%
win probability
Spirit
66.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
83.1%
win probability
Spirit
79.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.1%
win probability
Spirit
63.9%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
78.3%
win probability
Spirit
74.3%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
76.7%
win probability
Spirit
67.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.0%
win probability
Spirit
60.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
74.6%
win probability
Spirit
66.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
73.4%
win probability
Spirit
67.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
73.4%
win probability
Spirit
73.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
69.8%
win probability
Spirit
63.8%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Spirit
53.0%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
61.0%
win probability
Spirit
71.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.9%
win probability
Spirit
65.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
59.6%
win probability
Spirit
72.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
58.7%
win probability
Spirit
74.1%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
56.9%
win probability
Spirit
75.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Spirit
55.2%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.3%
win probability
Spirit
60.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.8%
win probability
Spirit
58.8%
accuracy