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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 10:37 UTC · Next:
Completed
IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 12:00 · 2026-09-02 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
HOTU
55.0%
66%
34%
HOTU: $2.00 (2) · x1.50 Pool $3.00 paiN: $1.00 (1) · x3.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Shark
Aug 31, 13:36
paiN
$1.00
lost
doto
Aug 31, 13:14
HOTU
$1.00
+$1.50
won
HorizoN
Aug 31, 13:08
HOTU
$1.00
+$1.50
won
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
83.9%
win probability
HOTU
61.9%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
76.9%
win probability
HOTU
54.5%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
75.9%
win probability
HOTU
72.3%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
68.7%
win probability
paiN
61.6%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
68.6%
win probability
HOTU
51.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.0%
win probability
HOTU
64.3%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.0%
win probability
paiN
64.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
65.7%
win probability
HOTU
57.0%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
62.7%
win probability
paiN
65.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.0%
win probability
HOTU
65.0%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
61.5%
win probability
paiN
65.5%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
HOTU
50.6%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.1%
win probability
HOTU
49.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
paiN
58.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.1%
win probability
HOTU
69.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
paiN
57.8%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.0%
win probability
HOTU
58.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.8%
win probability
paiN
63.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
52.6%
win probability
paiN
57.2%
accuracy
✕
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