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Top models accuracy · top-tier
SENTINEL
75.8%
STRONGHOLD
74.1%
TIER3ELO
72.9%
VANGUARD
72.3%
TRIBUNAL
70.9%
NEXUS
70.8%
ELOHQ
69.8%
TIERELO
69.6%
HIGHORACLE
69.3%
TIER2ELO
68.6%
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Last refresh:
2026-10-27 09:48 UTC
· Next:
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Matches
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Luminosity vs Astralis
Completed
Luminosity
1-2
Astralis
#10
Stake Ranked Episode 4Playoffs · bo3 · 12:00 · 2026-10-04 · TOP ·
HLTV →
Luminosity
lux
Astralis
HooXi
phzy
jabbi
Staehr
ryu
Model Consensus
based on 20 models
Astralis
62.6%
44%
56%
Luminosity: $
1.00
(
1
) · x
2.27
Pool $
2.27
Astralis: $
1.27
(
1
) · x
1.79
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 2 latest
PYREXX
Oct 03, 19:02
Luminosity
$1.00
lost
SayYouWill
Oct 03, 18:52
Astralis
$1.27
+$2.27
won
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
82.9%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
80.8%
win probability
Astralis
51.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.1%
win probability
Astralis
61.9%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.9%
win probability
Astralis
72.3%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
71.7%
win probability
Astralis
64.3%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.5%
win probability
Astralis
65.5%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
67.0%
win probability
Astralis
64.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.7%
win probability
Astralis
65.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.9%
win probability
Astralis
49.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
59.2%
win probability
Astralis
61.6%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.0%
win probability
Astralis
68.6%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Astralis
58.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.3%
win probability
Astralis
69.6%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.1%
win probability
Astralis
57.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
57.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
54.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Astralis
57.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.0%
win probability
Astralis
69.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.8%
win probability
Astralis
72.9%
accuracy
✓
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