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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.4%    TRIBUNAL 78.3%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 74.1%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-12 08:11 UTC · Next:
Completed
FISSURE Playground 3 · Live · 06:00 · 2026-09-10 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
Astralis
59.3%
60%
40%
Astralis: $3.10 (3) · x1.65 Pool $5.10 5star: $2.00 (2) · x2.55
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
DontPlayDota
Sep 10, 05:54
Astralis
$1.10
lost
K
Kost9N
Sep 10, 05:52
Astralis
$1.00
lost
chayJESUS
Sep 09, 14:47
5star
$1.00
+$2.55
won
TjP
Sep 09, 14:23
5star
$1.00
+$2.55
won
R0Kk-_
Sep 09, 14:18
Astralis
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (22)
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
81.6%
win probability
Astralis
66.9%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
80.1%
win probability
Astralis
74.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
78.6%
win probability
Astralis
67.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
78.6%
win probability
Astralis
73.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
73.3%
win probability
Astralis
66.8%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
5star
53.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
72.2%
win probability
Astralis
63.8%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.6%
win probability
Astralis
60.3%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.3%
win probability
Astralis
66.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.1%
win probability
Astralis
67.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
5star
55.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.7%
win probability
Astralis
65.1%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
57.4%
win probability
Astralis
51.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
5star
60.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.8%
win probability
5star
58.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.8%
win probability
5star
60.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.8%
win probability
5star
60.2%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.6%
win probability
Astralis
71.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
54.2%
win probability
Astralis
72.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.5%
win probability
Astralis
74.1%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.9%
win probability
Astralis
75.9%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
52.3%
win probability
Astralis
63.9%
accuracy
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