Last refresh: 2026-09-12 08:11 UTC · Next:
Completed
Model Consensus based on 19 models
LP
63.7%
Luminosity: $2.35 (2) · x1.85
Pool $4.35
LP: $2.00 (2) · x2.18
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
DontPlayDota
Sep 11, 17:14
Luminosity
$1.35
+$2.50
won
z3ndy
Sep 11, 13:14
LP
$1.00
lost
TjP
Sep 11, 13:02
LP
$1.00
lost
erners
Sep 11, 12:56
Luminosity
$1.00
+$1.85
won
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
89.1%
win probability
LP
51.8%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
85.2%
win probability
LP
63.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
81.6%
win probability
LP
79.0%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
78.0%
win probability
LP
66.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
69.5%
win probability
LP
67.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
LP
55.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.1%
win probability
LP
53.0%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
60.8%
win probability
LP
58.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
60.8%
win probability
LP
60.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
60.8%
win probability
LP
60.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.5%
win probability
LP
63.8%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
57.4%
win probability
LP
66.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.9%
win probability
LP
61.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.7%
win probability
LP
74.1%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.6%
win probability
LP
49.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.9%
win probability
LP
60.5%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.8%
win probability
Luminosity
65.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
53.6%
win probability
LP
66.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
LP
71.1%
accuracy