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Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.5%    SENTINEL 84.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.1%    TIER2ELO 74.0%    ELOHQ 72.8%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Model of the Week W25 → W26, 2026 — SURGE (78.6%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 26 · Jun 15 – Jun 21, 2026

23
Models ranked
226
Predictions
16
Matches
78.6%
Best accuracy
0.201
Brier Score
0.6194
Log Loss

This week (Week 26 · Jun 15 – Jun 21, 2026) we analyzed 16 top-tier CS2 matches across 23 prediction models. SURGE dominated with 78.6% accuracy (11/14 correct), ahead of ELOFACE at 66.7%. SURGE achieved a Brier Score of 0.201 and Log Loss of 0.6194.

🏆 Model of the Week: SURGE

SURGE had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 11 out of 14 matches.

🥇
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters

SURGE showed excellent performance with 78.6% accuracy across 14 predictions (11 correct, 3 wrong).

78.6%
Accuracy
14
Predictions
11
Correct
3
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W25: 78.6% (14)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1SURGE78.6%14113
#2ELOFACE66.7%963
#3FORM63.6%1174
#4ELO63.6%1174
#5WR10C61.5%1385
#6OPEN58.3%1275
#7ELOHQ57.1%743
#8XGPRO55.6%954
#9MAJOR55.6%954
#10ORACLE54.5%1165
#11APEX53.3%1587
#12PHANTOM50.0%1477
#13WR10P50.0%1055
#14MIND44.4%945
#15WR1044.4%945
#16EAGLE40.0%1046
#17SOS40.0%1046
#18VANGUARD40.0%523
#19TIER237.5%835
#20SQUAD35.7%1459
#21TIER333.3%312
#22STREAK28.6%725
#23TIER16.7%615

🎮 SURGE Predictions This Week

11/14 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
FURIA 0-3 Falcons79% FalconsCORRECT
TDK 2-0 100 Thieves67% TDKCORRECT
Virtus.pro 0-2 ex-RUBY67% ex-RUBYCORRECT
Spirit 1-2 Falcons76% FalconsCORRECT
Aurora 0-2 FURIA73% FURIACORRECT
Falcons 2-1 Vitality83% FalconsCORRECT
G2 1-2 Spirit67% SpiritCORRECT
Aurora 2-0 BetBoom73% BetBoomWRONG
Nuclear TigeRES 2-1 Nemesis53% Nuclear TiCORRECT
TDK 1-2 Nemesis57% NemesisCORRECT
PsychoFace 1-2 Virtus.pro91% PsychoFaceWRONG
Natus Vincere 1-2 G262% Natus VincWRONG
BetBoom 2-0 FUT77% BetBoomCORRECT
9z 2-0 The MongolZ70% 9zCORRECT
Week 25 → 26, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
Model of the Week W24 → W25, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)
Week 24 → 25, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
TIERELO's 12/15 Pickem Run + Stage 3 Predictions Live
Week 23 → 24, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
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