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Top models accuracy · top-tier
SENTINEL
80.6%
VANGUARD
77.3%
STRONGHOLD
76.9%
TIER3ELO
75.5%
TRIBUNAL
74.4%
NEXUS
73.0%
ELOHQ
72.3%
TIERELO
72.3%
HIGHORACLE
72.0%
TIER2ELO
70.8%
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Last refresh:
2026-10-01 20:53 UTC
· Next:
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Matches
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Astralis vs Alliance
Completed
Astralis
#10
1-2
Alliance
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Live · 15:00 · 2026-10-01 · TOP ·
HLTV →
Astralis
HooXi
phzy
jabbi
Staehr
ryu
Alliance
eraa
upE
avid
MaiL09
twist
49%
51%
Astralis: $
4.51
(
3
) · x
2.03
Pool $
9.17
Alliance: $
4.66
(
3
) · x
1.97
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 6 latest
EXP
Oct 01, 14:54
Astralis
$1.00
lost
mazda
Sep 29, 15:22
Alliance
$1.00
+$1.97
won
sliimey
Sep 29, 15:16
Alliance
$1.52
+$2.99
won
Trash
Sep 29, 15:11
Astralis
$1.72
lost
kR4ken
Sep 27, 15:53
Astralis
$1.79
lost
AZIDOT
Sep 10, 12:58
Alliance
$2.14
+$4.21
won
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
88.5%
win probability
Astralis
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Alliance
51.6%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Astralis
54.8%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.5%
win probability
Alliance
66.4%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.5%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.1%
win probability
Alliance
67.2%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
58.0%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
58.7%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
58.8%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
58.8%
win probability
Astralis
62.8%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.7%
win probability
Alliance
63.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.3%
win probability
Astralis
48.8%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.2%
win probability
Astralis
66.1%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
Alliance
58.7%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.0%
win probability
Alliance
60.1%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.0%
win probability
Alliance
64.5%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
52.4%
win probability
Alliance
66.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.3%
win probability
Astralis
70.8%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
72.3%
accuracy
✕
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