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Match Prediction Engine
 Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 84.6%    VANGUARD 82.2%    SENTINEL 81.5%    STRONGHOLD 81.5%    TIER3ELO 77.1%    NEXUS 76.1%    TIERELO 74.6%    TIER2ELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.3%    HIGHORACLE 69.4%   
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Last refresh: 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC · Next: 5 min

Model Leaderboard

Prediction accuracy across all tier matches

Top Major All
#1
81.0%
TRIBUNALPro
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
47 ✓ / 58
11 wrong
#2
80.3%
STRONGHOLDPro
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
114 ✓ / 142
28 wrong
#3
79.4%
SENTINELPro
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
54 ✓ / 68
14 wrong
#4
79.2%
VANGUARDPro
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
57 ✓ / 72
15 wrong
#5
77.4%
TIER3Pro
Top-teams ELO v3
123 ✓ / 159
36 wrong
#6
75.2%
NEXUSPro
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
94 ✓ / 125
31 wrong
#7
74.3%
TIERPro
ELO for top-30 teams
176 ✓ / 237
61 wrong
#8
72.9%
TIER2Pro
Top-teams ELO v2
191 ✓ / 262
71 wrong
#9
72.6%
ELOHQPro
High-confidence ELO
223 ✓ / 307
84 wrong
#10
69.0%
HIGH-ORACLEPro
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
87 ✓ / 126
39 wrong
#11
65.9%
ELOFACEPro
ELO + training activity
288 ✓ / 437
149 wrong
#12
65.8%
WR10Pro
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
241 ✓ / 366
125 wrong
#13
65.1%
ELOPro
Team ELO rating
302 ✓ / 464
162 wrong
#14
64.4%
ORACLEPro
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
213 ✓ / 331
118 wrong
#15
64.1%
WR10CPro
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
311 ✓ / 485
174 wrong
#16
64.0%
PHANTOMPro
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
215 ✓ / 336
121 wrong
#17
63.7%
APEXPro
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
221 ✓ / 347
126 wrong
#18
63.5%
SOSPro
Rank + form + opponent strength
282 ✓ / 444
162 wrong
#19
62.8%
STREAKPro
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
184 ✓ / 293
109 wrong
#20
61.3%
OPENFree
Rank + form + head-to-head
252 ✓ / 411
159 wrong
#21
61.0%
MAJORPro
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
221 ✓ / 362
141 wrong
#22
60.7%
XGPROPro
Rank + H2H for top matches
218 ✓ / 359
141 wrong
#23
58.8%
EAGLEFree
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
187 ✓ / 318
131 wrong
#24
58.1%
SURGEPro
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
54 ✓ / 93
39 wrong
#25
56.8%
SQUADFree
Player ratings
288 ✓ / 507
219 wrong
#26
55.3%
WR10PFree
Pure win rate vs top-10
234 ✓ / 423
189 wrong
#27
54.7%
FORMFree
Win rate last 10 matches
234 ✓ / 428
194 wrong
#28
50.0%
MINDFree
Psychology + tilt + H2H
211 ✓ / 422
211 wrong
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