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Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 77.2%    VANGUARD 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.0%    TIERELO 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 71.8%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-06 12:42 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · bo3 · 12:30 · OTHER
Model Consensus based on 19 models
Alliance
57.8%
41%
59%
Alliance: $1.00 (1) · x2.42 Pool $2.42 fnatic: $1.42 (1) · x1.70
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
k1to
Oct 02, 22:21
Alliance
$1.00
lost
PoGy
Oct 02, 22:15
fnatic
$1.42
+$2.42
won
Model Predictions (19)
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
82.7%
win probability
Alliance
71.8%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
82.6%
win probability
Alliance
73.0%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.3%
win probability
Alliance
60.5%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
68.8%
win probability
Alliance
76.0%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
60.3%
win probability
fnatic
51.7%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
fnatic
54.8%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
59.3%
win probability
Alliance
66.3%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
59.3%
win probability
fnatic
62.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.0%
win probability
Alliance
66.8%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.3%
win probability
Alliance
62.7%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.1%
win probability
Alliance
49.7%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Alliance
59.1%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
58.9%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.9%
win probability
Alliance
66.7%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.8%
win probability
Alliance
64.4%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
Alliance
59.9%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Alliance
58.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
fnatic
57.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
52.6%
win probability
fnatic
65.4%
accuracy
✓
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