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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 00:22 UTC · Next:
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ESL Pro League Season 24 · bo3 · 11:30 · 2026-10-03 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 6 models
Spirit
63.8%
100%
0%
Spirit: $11.12 (5) · x1.00 Pool $11.12 ShindeN: $0 (0) · x0
If win: — potential payout If win: —
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
FxRE
Sep 30, 16:07
Spirit
$1.41
active
777
Sep 30, 16:07
Spirit
$3.22
active
IamYourDaddy
Sep 30, 16:07
Spirit
$4.37
active
Shawk
Sep 30, 16:07
Spirit
$1.02
active
indoubt
Sep 30, 16:07
Spirit
$1.10
active
Model Predictions (25)
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.5%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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77.6%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
84.7%
win probability
Spirit
60.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.2%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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76.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
73.1%
win probability
Spirit
54.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.4%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
64.9%
win probability
Spirit
58.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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58.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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58.9%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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67.2%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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74.9%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.5%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.1%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.2%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.5%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
60.4%
win probability
Spirit
48.8%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
Spirit
51.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.9%
win probability
ShindeN
63.4%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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58.6%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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52.0%
accuracy
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