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Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 82.4%    SENTINEL 81.4%    VANGUARD 81.4%    TIER3ELO 75.2%    NEXUS 75.0%    TIERELO 73.2%    ELOHQ 72.3%    TIER2ELO 71.5%    HIGHORACLE 70.0%   
Model of the Week W29 → W30, 2026 — SQUAD (63.6%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 30 · Jul 13 – Jul 19, 2026

20
Models ranked
216
Predictions
20
Matches
63.6%
Best accuracy
0.2753
Brier Score
0.7836
Log Loss

This week (Week 30 · Jul 13 – Jul 19, 2026) we analyzed 20 top-tier CS2 matches across 20 prediction models. SQUAD dominated with 63.6% accuracy (7/11 correct), ahead of SQUAD at 63.6%. SQUAD achieved a Brier Score of 0.2753 and Log Loss of 0.7836.

🏆 Model of the Week: SQUAD

SQUAD edged out the competition this week, though accuracy across all models was moderate.

🥇
SQUAD
Player ratings

SQUAD showed decent performance with 63.6% accuracy across 11 predictions (7 correct, 4 wrong).

63.6%
Accuracy
11
Predictions
7
Correct
4
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W29: 63.6% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1WR10P66.7%321
#2SQUAD63.6%1174
#3XGPRO60.0%1064
#4MAJOR60.0%1064
#5PHANTOM56.2%1697
#6EAGLE56.2%1697
#7WR10C50.0%1899
#8FORM50.0%1266
#9WR1050.0%422
#10OPEN46.2%1367
#11APEX46.2%1367
#12ELO42.9%1468
#13MIND42.9%1468
#14ELOFACE40.0%1046
#15ELOHQ40.0%523
#16ORACLE38.5%1358
#17SURGE33.3%1248
#18TIER233.3%312
#19STREAK28.6%725
#20SOS25.0%1239

🎮 SQUAD Predictions This Week

7/11 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
United Kingdom 2-0 Belgium86% BelgiumWRONG
HEROIC 3-0 K2761% HEROICCORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 K2772% K27CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 HEROIC80% HEROICCORRECT
K27 2-0 Phantom87% K27CORRECT
Imperial 1-2 Fluxo69% ImperialWRONG
paiN 1-2 Phantom87% paiNWRONG
Wildcard 0-2 Gentle Mates78% Gentle MatCORRECT
3DMAX 1-2 HEROIC61% HEROICCORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 K2772% K27WRONG
fnatic 2-0 SPARTA77% fnaticCORRECT
Week 29 → 30, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Model of the Week W28 → W29, 2026 — TRIBUNAL (100.0%)
Week 28 → 29, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Model of the Week W27 → W28, 2026 — VANGUARD (90.9%)
Week 27 → 28, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
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