Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026

This week (Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. STREAK dominated with 77.8% accuracy (14/18 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 75.0%. STREAK achieved a Brier Score of 0.2273 and Log Loss of 0.6474.

🏆 Model of the Week: STREAK

STREAK had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 14 out of 18 matches.

🥇

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

STREAK showed excellent performance with 77.8% accuracy across 18 predictions (14 correct, 4 wrong).

77.8%

Accuracy

18

Predictions

14

Correct

4

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W40: 77.8% (18)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STREAK	77.8%	18	14	4
#2	TIER3	75.0%	20	15	5
#3	STRONGHOLD	73.3%	15	11	4
#4	MIND	71.0%	31	22	9
#5	SQUAD	70.6%	34	24	10
#6	PHANTOM	70.3%	37	26	11
#7	TIER	69.6%	23	16	7
#8	WR10	66.7%	21	14	7
#9	TIER2	65.5%	29	19	10
#10	ELO	64.9%	37	24	13
#11	MAJOR	64.0%	25	16	9
#12	VANGUARD	64.0%	25	16	9
#13	ELOFACE	63.9%	36	23	13
#14	XGPRO	62.5%	24	15	9
#15	ELOHQ	62.1%	29	18	11
#16	OPEN	61.8%	34	21	13
#17	SOS	61.8%	34	21	13
#18	WR10C	61.5%	39	24	15
#19	FORM	60.0%	35	21	14
#20	NEXUS	60.0%	15	9	6
#21	SENTINEL	60.0%	5	3	2
#22	ORACLE	59.5%	37	22	15
#23	APEX	59.0%	39	23	16
#24	HIGH-ORACLE	58.8%	17	10	7
#25	EAGLE	56.8%	37	21	16
#26	TRIBUNAL	55.6%	9	5	4
#27	WR10P	50.0%	28	14	14
#28	SURGE	40.0%	30	12	18