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Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 14 · Mar 26 – Apr 02, 2026

This week (Week 14 · Mar 26 – Apr 02, 2026) we analyzed 136 top-tier CS2 matches across 17 prediction models. TIER dominated with 84.6% accuracy (33/39 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 81.8%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2284 and Log Loss of 0.6498.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER

TIER had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 33 out of 39 matches.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed excellent performance with 84.6% accuracy across 39 predictions (33 correct, 6 wrong). Best week: W13 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 79.3%.

84.6%

Accuracy

39

Predictions

33

Correct

6

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W13: 100.0% (10)W14: 79.3% (29)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	84.6%	39	33	6
#2	TIER3	81.8%	22	18	4
#3	TIER2	81.4%	43	35	8
#4	ELOHQ	77.0%	61	47	14
#5	WR10	68.8%	77	53	24
#6	STREAK	66.7%	81	54	27
#7	XGPRO	65.1%	109	71	38
#8	MAJOR	65.1%	109	71	38
#9	OPEN	65.1%	106	69	37
#10	ELOFACE	63.7%	91	58	33
#11	SQUAD	63.1%	84	53	31
#12	SOS	62.1%	103	64	39
#13	ELO	59.6%	109	65	44
#14	WR10C	59.4%	106	63	43
#15	FORM	47.0%	100	47	53
#16	MIND	36.4%	99	36	63
#17	WR10P	34.7%	75	26	49

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · April 2026

Based on March 2026 data, we tracked 85 top-tier CS2 matches across 17 prediction models with a total of 962 predictions. The average model accuracy was 64.6%, with a spread of 42.4% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

TIER takes the top spot with 81.5% accuracy, followed by TIER3 at 81.2% and TIER2 at 79.3%.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed excellent performance with 81.5% accuracy across 27 predictions (22 correct, 5 wrong). Best week: W13 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 70.6%.

81.5%

Accuracy

27

Predictions

22

Correct

5

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W13: 100.0% (10)W14: 70.6% (17)

🥈

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed excellent performance with 81.2% accuracy across 16 predictions (13 correct, 3 wrong). Best week: W13 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 66.7%.

81.2%

Accuracy

16

Predictions

13

Correct

3

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W13: 100.0% (7)W14: 66.7% (9)

🥉

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

TIER2 showed excellent performance with 79.3% accuracy across 29 predictions (23 correct, 6 wrong). Best week: W13 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 66.7%.

79.3%

Accuracy

29

Predictions

23

Correct

6

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W13: 100.0% (11)W14: 66.7% (18)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	81.5%	27	22	5
#2	TIER3	81.2%	16	13	3
#3	TIER2	79.3%	29	23	6
#4	ELOHQ	75.6%	41	31	10
#5	WR10	70.6%	51	36	15
#6	STREAK	68.5%	54	37	17
#7	SQUAD	66.2%	74	49	25
#8	XGPRO	65.3%	75	49	26
#9	MAJOR	65.3%	75	49	26
#10	OPEN	64.9%	74	48	26
#11	WR10C	63.6%	66	42	24
#12	ELOFACE	62.3%	61	38	23
#13	SOS	61.5%	65	40	25
#14	ELO	59.7%	72	43	29
#15	FORM	53.0%	66	35	31
#16	WR10P	40.4%	47	19	28
#17	MIND	39.1%	69	27	42