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Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   

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Model of the Week W20 → W21, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (81.8%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026

25
Models ranked
958
Predictions
57
Matches
81.8%
Best accuracy
0.1542
Brier Score
0.4943
Log Loss

This week (Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026) we analyzed 57 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 81.8% accuracy (9/11 correct), ahead of TIER at 80.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1542 and Log Loss of 0.4943.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 9 out of 11 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 81.8% accuracy across 11 predictions (9 correct, 2 wrong).

81.8%
Accuracy
11
Predictions
9
Correct
2
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W20: 81.8% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD81.8%1192
#2TIER80.0%25205
#3TIER380.0%20164
#4TIER277.8%27216
#5WR1075.0%443311
#6MIND70.2%473314
#7WR10C69.8%533716
#8ELOHQ69.4%362511
#9OPEN68.1%473215
#10WR10P66.7%513417
#11TRIBUNAL66.7%963
#12SQUAD66.0%533518
#13FORM65.3%493217
#14XGPRO64.5%312011
#15MAJOR64.5%312011
#16STREAK63.6%332112
#17ELO63.5%523319
#18ELOFACE62.7%513219
#19SOS55.1%492722
#20APEX52.8%532825
#21PHANTOM52.8%532825
#22HIGH-ORACLE52.6%19109
#23NEXUS50.0%1688
#24ORACLE47.1%512427
#25EAGLE40.4%471928

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

9/11 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
GamerLegion 0-3 Natus Vincere68% Natus VincCORRECT
BetBoom 0-2 Natus Vincere77% Natus VincCORRECT
B8 0-2 Vitality80% VitalityCORRECT
SINNERS 0-2 Astralis70% AstralisCORRECT
FaZe 0-2 Vitality81% VitalityCORRECT
BetBoom 2-1 Vitality83% VitalityWRONG
Natus Vincere 2-1 GamerLegion69% Natus VincCORRECT
Monte 2-1 The Huns67% MonteCORRECT
HEROIC 1-2 magic62% HEROICWRONG
Natus Vincere 2-0 Passion UA74% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 BC.Game84% VitalityCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W19 → W20, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 20 · May 04 – May 10, 2026

25
Models ranked
304
Predictions
16
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0677
Brier Score
0.2985
Log Loss

This week (Week 20 · May 04 – May 10, 2026) we analyzed 16 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 100.0% accuracy (8/8 correct), ahead of HIGH-ORACLE at 100.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.0677 and Log Loss of 0.2985.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 8 out of 8 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 8 predictions (8 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
8
Predictions
8
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W19: 100.0% (8)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD100.0%880
#2HIGH-ORACLE100.0%770
#3NEXUS100.0%770
#4SENTINEL100.0%550
#5ELO81.2%16133
#6ELOFACE81.2%16133
#7WR10C81.2%16133
#8APEX81.2%16133
#9PHANTOM81.2%16133
#10ORACLE80.0%15123
#11TIER280.0%15123
#12ELOHQ80.0%15123
#13TIER78.6%14113
#14EAGLE75.0%16124
#15TIER375.0%1293
#16XGPRO71.4%752
#17MAJOR71.4%752
#18SQUAD68.8%16115
#19SOS66.7%15105
#20FORM66.7%1284
#21STREAK66.7%321
#22OPEN60.0%1064
#23WR1054.5%1165
#24WR10P50.0%1688
#25MIND23.1%13310

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

8/8 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Monte 2-0 magic65% MonteCORRECT
PARIVISION 2-0 Fisher College75% PARIVISIONCORRECT
Aurora 2-0 The Huns76% AuroraCORRECT
Falcons 2-0 K2778% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 The Huns79% SpiritCORRECT
MOUZ 2-1 Gentle Mates72% MOUZCORRECT
The MongolZ 2-0 magic76% The MongolCORRECT
G2 2-0 Fisher College73% G2CORRECT
Read more →
Top Models April → May 2026 — TRIBUNAL leads at 100.0%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · May 2026

27
Models ranked
2520
Total predictions
174
Matches tracked
100.0%
Best accuracy

Based on April 2026 data, we tracked 174 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models with a total of 2520 predictions. The average model accuracy was 72.3%, with a spread of 53.0% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

TRIBUNAL takes the top spot with 100.0% accuracy, followed by NEXUS at 97.1% and SENTINEL at 92.3%.

🥇
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction

TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 20 predictions (20 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
20
Predictions
20
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 100.0% (9)W15: 100.0% (5)W16: 100.0% (4)W18: 100.0% (2)
🥈
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 97.1% accuracy across 35 predictions (34 correct, 1 wrong). Best week: W14 at 100.0%, weakest: W18 at 75.0%.

97.1%
Accuracy
35
Predictions
34
Correct
1
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 100.0% (10)W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)W17: 100.0% (9)W18: 75.0% (4)
🥉
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

SENTINEL showed excellent performance with 92.3% accuracy across 26 predictions (24 correct, 2 wrong). Best week: W15 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 90.5%.

92.3%
Accuracy
26
Predictions
24
Correct
2
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 90.5% (21)W15: 100.0% (1)W16: 100.0% (1)W17: 100.0% (3)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1TRIBUNAL100.0%20200
#2NEXUS97.1%35341
#3SENTINEL92.3%26242
#4STRONGHOLD91.1%45414
#5TIER386.4%44386
#6VANGUARD85.7%14122
#7HIGH-ORACLE85.3%34295
#8TIER82.7%756213
#9ELOHQ79.8%947519
#10TIER278.3%836518
#11ORACLE74.7%916823
#12APEX73.9%926824
#13SOS73.5%13610036
#14PHANTOM73.3%906624
#15ELOFACE70.0%1309139
#16ELO68.5%1439845
#17STREAK65.6%905931
#18WR1063.7%1137241
#19EAGLE62.6%915734
#20MAJOR61.2%1167145
#21XGPRO60.9%1157045
#22WR10C60.3%1569462
#23OPEN60.3%1317952
#24SQUAD57.2%1669571
#25FORM50.4%1336766
#26WR10P49.6%1256263
#27MIND47.0%1326270
Read more →
Model of the Week W18 → W19, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 19 · Apr 27 – May 03, 2026

24
Models ranked
352
Predictions
20
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0822
Brier Score
0.334
Log Loss

This week (Week 19 · Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) we analyzed 20 top-tier CS2 matches across 24 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 100.0% accuracy (7/7 correct), ahead of STREAK at 91.7%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.0822 and Log Loss of 0.334.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 7 out of 7 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 7 predictions (7 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
7
Predictions
7
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W18: 100.0% (7)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD100.0%770
#2STREAK91.7%12111
#3TIER377.8%972
#4XGPRO77.8%972
#5MAJOR77.8%972
#6NEXUS77.8%972
#7ELO76.5%17134
#8ELOFACE75.0%16124
#9TIER75.0%1293
#10TIER275.0%1293
#11SOS73.7%19145
#12APEX72.2%18135
#13ELOHQ71.4%14104
#14WR1071.4%14104
#15SQUAD70.0%20146
#16HIGH-ORACLE70.0%1073
#17OPEN68.4%19136
#18MIND66.7%18126
#19PHANTOM66.7%18126
#20ORACLE63.2%19127
#21WR10C60.0%20128
#22WR10P60.0%1596
#23FORM57.9%19118
#24EAGLE41.2%17710

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

7/7 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Vitality 2-0 GamerLegion79% VitalityCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 FaZe71% Natus VincCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 GamerLegion68% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-1 G275% VitalityCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 FaZe71% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-1 FUT76% VitalityCORRECT
Legacy 3-2 9z62% LegacyCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W18 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 18 · Apr 20 – Apr 27, 2026

24
Models ranked
205
Predictions
13
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0664
Brier Score
0.2942
Log Loss

This week (Week 18 · Apr 20 – Apr 27, 2026) we analyzed 13 top-tier CS2 matches across 24 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (9/9 correct), ahead of HIGH-ORACLE at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0664 and Log Loss of 0.2942.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 9 out of 9 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 9 predictions (9 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
9
Predictions
9
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W17: 100.0% (9)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%990
#2HIGH-ORACLE100.0%880
#3ELOHQ100.0%440
#4TIER100.0%440
#5TIER2100.0%440
#6SENTINEL100.0%330
#7STRONGHOLD100.0%330
#8PHANTOM90.0%1091
#9ORACLE81.8%1192
#10EAGLE81.8%1192
#11ELOFACE77.8%972
#12SQUAD75.0%1293
#13SOS75.0%1293
#14APEX75.0%1293
#15ELO72.7%1183
#16WR10C46.2%1367
#17FORM36.4%1147
#18OPEN30.0%1037
#19XGPRO25.0%826
#20MAJOR25.0%826
#21WR1025.0%826
#22WR10P22.2%927
#23MIND16.7%12210
#24STREAK0.0%303

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

9/9 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
TYLOO 1-0 Sensation76% TYLOOCORRECT
9z 2-0 Vasco74% 9zCORRECT
Wildcard 2-0 FRZ68% WildcardCORRECT
BIG 0-2 HEROIC68% HEROICCORRECT
Alliance 2-0 Oxuji69% AllianceCORRECT
Legacy 2-0 Keyd Stars78% LegacyCORRECT
9z 2-0 Vasco80% 9zCORRECT
Legacy 2-0 ALZON78% LegacyCORRECT
9z 2-0 ALKA80% 9zCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W17 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026

25
Models ranked
520
Predictions
30
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0884
Brier Score
0.3524
Log Loss

This week (Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (10/10 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0884 and Log Loss of 0.3524.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 10 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (10 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
10
Predictions
10
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%10100
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%770
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%440
#4TIER393.8%16151
#5ELOHQ90.9%22202
#6TIER289.5%19172
#7TIER88.9%18162
#8HIGH-ORACLE87.5%871
#9APEX85.2%27234
#10SOS80.0%25205
#11ELO79.3%29236
#12ELOFACE78.6%28226
#13PHANTOM78.6%28226
#14ORACLE78.6%28226
#15WR10C73.3%30228
#16WR10P73.1%26197
#17EAGLE72.0%25187
#18STREAK71.4%14104
#19WR1070.8%24177
#20SQUAD70.4%27198
#21MAJOR64.7%17116
#22FORM62.5%24159
#23XGPRO62.5%16106
#24OPEN60.0%251510
#25MIND56.5%231310

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/10 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W16 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026

25
Models ranked
858
Predictions
50
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0893
Brier Score
0.3546
Log Loss

This week (Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026) we analyzed 50 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (12/12 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0893 and Log Loss of 0.3546.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 12 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 12 predictions (12 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
12
Predictions
12
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%12120
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%990
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%990
#4TIER395.2%21201
#5TIER286.2%29254
#6TIER85.7%28244
#7HIGH-ORACLE83.3%12102
#8ELOHQ82.9%35296
#9APEX77.8%453510
#10ORACLE77.3%443410
#11PHANTOM76.7%433310
#12SOS76.2%423210
#13ELO76.1%463511
#14ELOFACE74.4%433211
#15WR1071.1%382711
#16STREAK70.4%27198
#17WR10C67.3%493316
#18WR10P65.9%442915
#19EAGLE65.1%432815
#20MAJOR64.7%342212
#21FORM64.3%422715
#22XGPRO63.6%332112
#23OPEN61.0%412516
#24SQUAD59.6%472819
#25MIND59.5%422517

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

12/12 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ69% The MongolCORRECT
BC.Game 2-1 Voca70% BC.GameCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W15 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 15 · Mar 30 – Apr 06, 2026

27
Models ranked
2658
Predictions
193
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0861
Brier Score
0.3457
Log Loss

This week (Week 15 · Mar 30 – Apr 06, 2026) we analyzed 193 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (22/22 correct), ahead of TRIBUNAL at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0861 and Log Loss of 0.3457.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 22 out of 22 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 22 predictions (22 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
22
Predictions
22
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 100.0% (10)W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%22220
#2TRIBUNAL100.0%18180
#3HIGH-ORACLE86.4%22193
#4TIER384.1%44377
#5VANGUARD83.3%24204
#6SENTINEL82.1%39327
#7STRONGHOLD81.0%584711
#8TIER79.7%796316
#9ORACLE77.1%705416
#10ELOHQ76.9%1048024
#11TIER275.0%886622
#12APEX74.6%715318
#13PHANTOM72.9%705119
#14SOS67.5%15110249
#15ELOFACE65.3%1449450
#16STREAK64.5%1107139
#17EAGLE64.3%704525
#18ELO64.1%15610056
#19WR1064.0%1258045
#20WR10C60.5%16710166
#21MAJOR60.1%1388355
#22OPEN60.0%1458758
#23XGPRO59.9%1378255
#24SQUAD54.3%18610185
#25FORM50.3%1457372
#26WR10P48.1%1336469
#27MIND45.1%1426478

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

22/22 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ69% The MongolCORRECT
BC.Game 2-1 Voca70% BC.GameCORRECT
paiN 3-1 Gaimin Gladiators72% paiNCORRECT
PARIVISION 2-0 FOKUS74% PARIVISIONCORRECT
3DMAX 2-1 Voca74% 3DMAXCORRECT
FaZe 2-0 CYBERSHOKE68% FaZeCORRECT
PARIVISION 2-1 Legacy69% PARIVISIONCORRECT
paiN 2-1 ShindeN81% paiNCORRECT
GamerLegion 0-2 BetBoom68% BetBoomCORRECT
Astralis 2-0 MIBR68% AstralisCORRECT
B8 2-0 Wildcard68% B8CORRECT
NRG 2-0 Voca77% NRGCORRECT
Read more →
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