News, updates and analysis
We've added 2 new consensus models to CS2PREDICT: NEXUS and TRIBUNAL. Both were discovered through live data analysis — optimizing over real pre-match predictions with zero data leakage.
Unlike base models that compute predictions independently from raw team stats, consensus models act as filters on top of existing models. They only make a prediction when multiple models agree with high confidence. The result: fewer predictions, but significantly higher accuracy.
NEXUS — APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
The sharpest double confirmation on the site. NEXUS only activates when both APEX and ORACLE are strongly aligned — meaning two independent multi-factor models see the same outcome with high conviction. In backtesting on live top-tier matches: 100% accuracy on 12 predictions.
TRIBUNAL — OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
A three-model consensus built around ORACLE as the anchor, confirmed by both the OPEN and PRO predictors. These three models use different feature sets — when all three agree, the signal is remarkably consistent. In backtesting on live top-tier matches: 100% accuracy on 11 predictions.
The 100% accuracy figures are from a small sample of top-tier matches — treat them as promising early signals, not guarantees. Both models will fire rarely by design: NEXUS requires two models at 65%+ confidence, TRIBUNAL requires three at 55%+. Expect 1–3 predictions per week on top-tier matches.
As live data accumulates over the coming weeks, you'll see real accuracy statistics on each model's page.
NEXUS and TRIBUNAL are available for Pro subscribers.
We've added 4 new prediction models to CS2PREDICT, bringing the total to 21 AI models. Each was discovered through automated optimization across 3,400+ feature combinations tested against 667 completed matches.
APEX — ELO + Form + Streak + Strength of Schedule
Balanced model optimized for the best accuracy-to-coverage ratio. Combines team rating with current momentum, win/loss streaks, and opponent difficulty. 66% accuracy, 60% coverage.
ORACLE — ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
Five-factor model that adds psychological pressure (tilt) and dual ELO systems. Performs best when teams have clear form differences. 69% accuracy, 51% coverage.
EAGLE — Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
High-confidence model that combines three ranking signals with team form. Predicts less frequently but with strong conviction. 77% accuracy, 14% coverage.
PHANTOM — ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt
Maximum accuracy model. Only makes predictions when all signals align strongly. When PHANTOM speaks, it's almost always right. 92% accuracy, 6% coverage.
All four models are currently in calibration mode — they need at least 10 confident predictions before appearing in the model rankings. You can already see their predictions on individual match pages.
The new models are available exclusively for Pro subscribers.