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Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.1%    TRIBUNAL 80.9%    STRONGHOLD 79.2%    TIER3ELO 74.4%    VANGUARD 73.4%    NEXUS 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    ELOHQ 70.7%    TIER2ELO 70.5%    HIGHORACLE 67.8%   
Model of the Week W30 → W31, 2026 — TIER3 (68.4%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 31 · Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026

28
Models ranked
807
Predictions
41
Matches
68.4%
Best accuracy
0.2398
Brier Score
0.6728
Log Loss

This week (Week 31 · Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026) we analyzed 41 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TIER3 dominated with 68.4% accuracy (13/19 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 68.4%. TIER3 achieved a Brier Score of 0.2398 and Log Loss of 0.6728.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER3

TIER3 performed strongly this week with solid accuracy across 19 predictions.

🥇
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed strong performance with 68.4% accuracy across 19 predictions (13 correct, 6 wrong).

68.4%
Accuracy
19
Predictions
13
Correct
6
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W30: 68.4% (19)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1SENTINEL75.0%431
#2TIER368.4%19136
#3EAGLE67.6%372512
#4PHANTOM66.7%392613
#5ORACLE65.8%382513
#6TIER65.2%23158
#7SOS64.9%372413
#8TIER261.5%261610
#9NEXUS61.5%261610
#10APEX60.0%402416
#11HIGH-ORACLE57.7%261511
#12ELOHQ56.7%301713
#13STRONGHOLD55.6%18108
#14ELO54.1%372017
#15ELOFACE52.8%361917
#16WR10C52.6%382018
#17XGPRO51.7%291514
#18MAJOR51.7%291514
#19SQUAD51.5%331716
#20MIND50.0%361818
#21VANGUARD50.0%201010
#22STREAK45.0%20911
#23TRIBUNAL42.9%734
#24OPEN41.9%311318
#25FORM36.4%331221
#26WR10P33.3%331122
#27WR1033.3%27918
#28SURGE31.4%351124

🎮 TIER3 Predictions This Week

13/19 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
100 Thieves 1-2 Spirit55% SpiritCORRECT
Wildcard 0-2 The MongolZ54% The MongolCORRECT
3DMAX 2-0 FUT53% FUTWRONG
FOKUS 0-2 MOUZ54% MOUZCORRECT
Aurora 2-0 Echo54% AuroraCORRECT
Liquid 2-0 G254% G2WRONG
DENDELE 2-1 FURIA55% FURIAWRONG
Liquid 2-0 Vitality57% VitalityWRONG
HEROIC 1-2 The MongolZ52% The MongolCORRECT
SINNERS 1-2 FUT54% FUTCORRECT
FOKUS 2-1 Aurora54% AuroraWRONG
OG 1-2 Spirit57% SpiritCORRECT
100 Thieves 2-1 Falcons55% FalconsWRONG
Aurora 2-1 Nemesis54% AuroraCORRECT
Nemiga 1-2 G254% G2CORRECT
Aurora 2-1 K2754% AuroraCORRECT
Nemesis 1-2 Astralis52% AstralisCORRECT
Nuclear TigeRES 0-2 MOUZ54% MOUZCORRECT
Astralis 2-1 FOKUS52% AstralisCORRECT
Week 30 → 31, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Service Interruption (July 20–22) and an Upcoming Server Upgrade
Model of the Week W29 → W30, 2026 — SQUAD (63.6%)
Week 29 → 30, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Week 28 → 29, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
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