Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026

This week (Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. TIER dominated with 79.3% accuracy (23/29 correct), ahead of TIER2 at 79.3%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2231 and Log Loss of 0.639.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER

TIER had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 23 out of 29 matches.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed excellent performance with 79.3% accuracy across 29 predictions (23 correct, 6 wrong).

79.3%

Accuracy

29

Predictions

23

Correct

6

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W33: 79.3% (29)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	79.3%	29	23	6
#2	TIER2	79.3%	29	23	6
#3	STRONGHOLD	78.6%	14	11	3
#4	SOS	78.4%	37	29	8
#5	VANGUARD	77.3%	22	17	5
#6	NEXUS	77.3%	22	17	5
#7	PHANTOM	76.9%	39	30	9
#8	HIGH-ORACLE	76.2%	21	16	5
#9	ELOHQ	75.9%	29	22	7
#10	APEX	75.7%	37	28	9
#11	ORACLE	75.7%	37	28	9
#12	TIER3	75.0%	24	18	6
#13	XGPRO	75.0%	24	18	6
#14	MAJOR	75.0%	24	18	6
#15	STREAK	73.7%	19	14	5
#16	ELO	73.0%	37	27	10
#17	ELOFACE	73.0%	37	27	10
#18	EAGLE	70.3%	37	26	11
#19	WR10C	66.7%	39	26	13
#20	TRIBUNAL	66.7%	9	6	3
#21	MIND	65.5%	29	19	10
#22	WR10	64.3%	28	18	10
#23	SQUAD	63.2%	38	24	14
#24	OPEN	57.1%	28	16	12
#25	WR10P	55.3%	38	21	17
#26	FORM	55.2%	29	16	13
#27	SURGE	32.4%	37	12	25