News, updates and analysis
Weekly leaderboard · Week 40 results (Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026) · published Week 41
115 predictors placed 932 settled wagers this week (Week 40 results (Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026) · published Week 41). Kost9N led on accuracy at 71.7% Wilson, while Oli netted +$16.61 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 23.0%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026
This week (Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. STREAK dominated with 77.8% accuracy (14/18 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 75.0%. STREAK achieved a Brier Score of 0.2273 and Log Loss of 0.6474.
STREAK had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 14 out of 18 matches.
STREAK showed excellent performance with 77.8% accuracy across 18 predictions (14 correct, 4 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

14/18 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| BetBoom 2-0 M80 | 55% BetBoom | CORRECT |
| G2 1-2 1win | 55% 1win | CORRECT |
| Luminosity 1-2 Astralis | 57% Astralis | CORRECT |
| Falcons 2-0 Aurora | 55% Aurora | WRONG |
| 9z 2-0 TYLOO | 54% 9z | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-1 PARIVISION | 55% Spirit | CORRECT |
| MOUZ 2-0 M80 | 57% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| MOUZ 2-0 M80 | 55% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| Aurora 2-0 9z | 55% Aurora | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-1 ShindeN | 62% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 1win | 53% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Astralis 2-1 BIG | 52% Astralis | CORRECT |
| Legacy 1-2 PARIVISION | 56% Legacy | WRONG |
| Legacy 1-2 PARIVISION | 56% Legacy | WRONG |
| Falcons 2-0 TYLOO | 54% Falcons | CORRECT |
| B8 0-2 Luminosity | 55% Luminosity | CORRECT |
| BET-M 0-2 Nemiga | 53% Nemiga | CORRECT |
| magic 0-2 GamerLegion | 57% magic | WRONG |
Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · October 2026
Based on September 2026 data, we tracked 256 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models with a total of 4352 predictions. The average model accuracy was 59.1%, with a spread of 32.1% between the best and worst performing models.
TIER3 takes the top spot with 78.4% accuracy, followed by VANGUARD at 71.6% and TIER2 at 68.5%.
TIER3 showed excellent performance with 78.4% accuracy across 51 predictions (40 correct, 11 wrong). Best week: W40 at 100.0%, weakest: W39 at 60.0%.


VANGUARD showed strong performance with 71.6% accuracy across 88 predictions (63 correct, 25 wrong). Best week: W40 at 100.0%, weakest: W39 at 40.0%.


TIER2 showed strong performance with 68.5% accuracy across 92 predictions (63 correct, 29 wrong). Best week: W38 at 76.9%, weakest: W40 at 50.0%.


Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Monthly leaderboard · September 2026 results · published October 2026
122 predictors placed 4276 settled wagers this month (September 2026 results · published October 2026). Kost9N led on accuracy at 79.3% Wilson, while EXP netted +$92.66 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 35.5%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next month's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 2 months Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 40 · Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026
This week (Week 40 · Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026) we analyzed 25 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. TIER dominated with 62.5% accuracy (5/8 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 60.0%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2493 and Log Loss of 0.6918.
TIER edged out the competition this week, though accuracy across all models was moderate.
TIER showed decent performance with 62.5% accuracy across 8 predictions (5 correct, 3 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

5/8 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| magic 2-1 GamerLegion | 52% magic | CORRECT |
| magic 2-1 EYEBALLERS | 52% magic | CORRECT |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 3DMAX | 52% 3DMAX | WRONG |
| Astralis 2-1 Betclic | 53% Astralis | CORRECT |
| B8 0-2 Luminosity | 57% B8 | WRONG |
| HEROIC 2-0 BBL | 54% HEROIC | CORRECT |
| Johnny Speeds 2-0 Virtus.pro | 53% Virtus.pro | WRONG |
| Astralis 2-1 Sangal | 53% Astralis | CORRECT |
Weekly leaderboard · Week 39 results (Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026) · published Week 40
117 predictors placed 1433 settled wagers this week (Week 39 results (Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026) · published Week 40). Kost9N led on accuracy at 64.6% Wilson, while EXP netted +$32.28 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 27.1%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 39 · Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026
This week (Week 39 · Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. HIGH-ORACLE dominated with 80.0% accuracy (12/15 correct), ahead of NEXUS at 80.0%. HIGH-ORACLE achieved a Brier Score of 0.173 and Log Loss of 0.5375.
HIGH-ORACLE had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 15 matches.
HIGH-ORACLE showed excellent performance with 80.0% accuracy across 15 predictions (12 correct, 3 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

12/15 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| MIBR 0-2 FURIA | 68% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Aurora 2-1 Vitality | 68% Vitality | WRONG |
| 3DMAX 2-1 M80 | 68% M80 | WRONG |
| MIBR 2-0 NRG | 73% MIBR | CORRECT |
| NRG 0-2 Aurora | 72% Aurora | CORRECT |
| BBL 14-16 3DMAX | 73% 3DMAX | CORRECT |
| Inner Circle 13-6 Liquid | 72% Inner Circ | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 9-13 Inner Circle | 74% Inner Circ | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 magic | 67% Vitality | CORRECT |
| M80 13-9 GamerLegion | 70% M80 | CORRECT |
| MOUZ 1-2 NRG | 82% MOUZ | WRONG |
| GamerLegion 13-7 Luminosity | 71% GamerLegio | CORRECT |
| B8 13-8 Metizport | 70% B8 | CORRECT |
| Imperial 2-1 Bounty Hunters | 73% Imperial | CORRECT |
| paiN 2-0 Turma do Pagode | 69% paiN | CORRECT |
Weekly leaderboard · Week 38 results (Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026) · published Week 39
101 predictors placed 698 settled wagers this week (Week 38 results (Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026) · published Week 39). NikoM led on accuracy at 61.0% Wilson, while EXP netted +$13.25 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 23.1%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 37 results (Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026) · published Week 38
117 predictors placed 997 settled wagers this week (Week 37 results (Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026) · published Week 38). SBT led on accuracy at 56.6% Wilson, while EXP netted +$17.79 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 22.8%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 38 · Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026
This week (Week 38 · Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026) we analyzed 103 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TRIBUNAL dominated with 79.2% accuracy (19/24 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 78.3%. TRIBUNAL achieved a Brier Score of 0.2013 and Log Loss of 0.5943.
TRIBUNAL had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 19 out of 24 matches.
TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 79.2% accuracy across 24 predictions (19 correct, 5 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

19/24 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| FlyQuest 0-2 DEPO | 58% FlyQuest | WRONG |
| BetBoom 1-2 G2 | 62% G2 | CORRECT |
| Voca 2-0 Without a Roof | 59% Voca | CORRECT |
| Without a Roof 2-0 Marsborne | 58% Marsborne | WRONG |
| antivalue 0-2 Voca | 61% Voca | CORRECT |
| B8 2-1 Nuclear TigeRES | 59% B8 | CORRECT |
| M80 2-1 6666 | 63% M80 | CORRECT |
| Back to Back 1-2 Fluxo | 60% Fluxo | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 100 Thieves | 56% 100 Thieve | CORRECT |
| Villainous 0-2 Without a Roof | 57% Without a | CORRECT |
| SINNERS 1-2 Nemiga | 57% Nemiga | CORRECT |
| Galorys 1-2 Back to Back | 61% Galorys | WRONG |
| 3DMAX 1-2 BBL | 60% 3DMAX | WRONG |
| DEPO 2-0 Revenge | 58% DEPO | CORRECT |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 Inner Circle | 59% Inner Circ | CORRECT |
| FlyQuest 2-0 Finishers | 63% FlyQuest | CORRECT |
| 9z 1-2 G2 | 57% G2 | CORRECT |
| Liquid 2-0 antivalue | 61% Liquid | CORRECT |
| NRG 2-0 Without a Roof | 58% NRG | CORRECT |
| Voca 2-0 Villainous | 62% Voca | CORRECT |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 SINNERS | 60% Ninjas in | WRONG |
| FlyQuest 1-0 LFO 8 | 62% FlyQuest | CORRECT |
| FlyQuest 2-0 Devious | 62% FlyQuest | CORRECT |
| TYLOO 2-1 The Huns | 59% TYLOO | CORRECT |
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 37 · Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026
This week (Week 37 · Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026) we analyzed 96 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TIER3 dominated with 85.7% accuracy (12/14 correct), ahead of ELOHQ at 72.7%. TIER3 achieved a Brier Score of 0.234 and Log Loss of 0.6611.
TIER3 had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 14 matches.
TIER3 showed excellent performance with 85.7% accuracy across 14 predictions (12 correct, 2 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

12/14 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| Spirit 3-1 MOUZ | 52% Spirit | CORRECT |
| B8 2-0 Nuclear TigeRES | 52% B8 | CORRECT |
| Falcons 2-0 G2 | 52% Falcons | CORRECT |
| TYLOO 1-0 FlyQuest | 52% TYLOO | CORRECT |
| K27 0-2 Eternal Fire | 53% Eternal Fi | CORRECT |
| Nuclear TigeRES 2-0 Eternal Fire | 53% Eternal Fi | WRONG |
| TYLOO 1-0 Rare Atom | 54% TYLOO | CORRECT |
| HOTU 2-0 Nemiga | 53% HOTU | CORRECT |
| Color 1-2 B8 | 52% B8 | CORRECT |
| MIBR 1-2 Eternal Fire | 52% Eternal Fi | CORRECT |
| Rare Atom 2-0 Lynn Vision | 53% Lynn Visio | WRONG |
| HOTU 2-1 Color | 52% HOTU | CORRECT |
| FUT 0-2 Vitality | 52% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-0 FURIA | 52% Spirit | CORRECT |
Weekly leaderboard · Week 36 results (Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026) · published Week 37
116 predictors placed 953 settled wagers this week (Week 36 results (Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026) · published Week 37). DontPlayDota led on accuracy at 66.6% Wilson, while DontPlayDota netted +$24.32 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 23.3%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · September 2026
Based on August 2026 data, we tracked 213 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models with a total of 3521 predictions. The average model accuracy was 72.2%, with a spread of 54.2% between the best and worst performing models.
SENTINEL takes the top spot with 100.0% accuracy, followed by VANGUARD at 87.1% and NEXUS at 86.1%.
SENTINEL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 17 predictions (17 correct, 0 wrong).


VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 87.1% accuracy across 85 predictions (74 correct, 11 wrong). Best week: W36 at 100.0%, weakest: W31 at 75.0%.


NEXUS showed excellent performance with 86.1% accuracy across 72 predictions (62 correct, 10 wrong). Best week: W31 at 100.0%, weakest: W36 at 0.0%.


Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Monthly leaderboard · August 2026 results · published September 2026
110 predictors placed 3391 settled wagers this month (August 2026 results · published September 2026). Kost9N led on accuracy at 80.4% Wilson, while DontPlayDota netted +$25.96 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 32.5%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next month's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 2 months Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 36 · Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026
This week (Week 36 · Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026) we analyzed 36 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. VANGUARD dominated with 88.2% accuracy (15/17 correct), ahead of ELOHQ at 86.4%. VANGUARD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1219 and Log Loss of 0.4143.
VANGUARD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 15 out of 17 matches.
VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 88.2% accuracy across 17 predictions (15 correct, 2 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

15/17 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| Vitality 2-1 Legacy | 74% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Inner Circle 0-2 FUT | 71% FUT | CORRECT |
| Aurora 2-0 M80 | 76% Aurora | CORRECT |
| Legacy 1-2 Falcons | 77% Falcons | CORRECT |
| FUT 2-1 Lynn Vision | 79% FUT | CORRECT |
| Inner Circle 0-2 MOUZ | 70% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 9z | 73% Vitality | CORRECT |
| M80 0-2 FURIA | 82% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Natus Vincere 2-0 paiN | 80% Natus Vinc | CORRECT |
| G2 0-2 Spirit | 79% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Aurora 2-0 DENDELE | 75% Aurora | CORRECT |
| Falcons 2-1 Lynn Vision | 88% Falcons | CORRECT |
| Vitality 0-2 Inner Circle | 76% Vitality | WRONG |
| FURIA 2-0 paiN | 81% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Natus Vincere 1-2 M80 | 82% Natus Vinc | WRONG |
| Spirit 2-0 DENDELE | 87% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Nuclear TigeRES 16-13 Spirit Academy | 67% Nuclear Ti | CORRECT |
Weekly leaderboard · Week 35 results (Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026) · published Week 36
101 predictors placed 1058 settled wagers this week (Week 35 results (Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026) · published Week 36). Kost9N led on accuracy at 75.7% Wilson, while gtw netted +$9.07 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 25.3%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 34 results (Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026) · published Week 35
80 predictors placed 568 settled wagers this week (Week 34 results (Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026) · published Week 35). НеИгрок led on accuracy at 56.6% Wilson, while nicoodoz netted +$9.09 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 20.4%.
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins 1 month Pro. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 35 · Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026
This week (Week 35 · Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026) we analyzed 17 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (6/6 correct), ahead of STREAK at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0817 and Log Loss of 0.3333.
NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 6 out of 6 matches.
NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 6 predictions (6 correct, 0 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

6/6 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| FaZe 0-2 Vitality | 81% Vitality | CORRECT |
| B8 0-2 Spirit | 74% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Falcons 2-0 The MongolZ | 69% Falcons | CORRECT |
| GamerLegion 1-2 MOUZ | 70% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| FUT 2-1 magic | 70% FUT | CORRECT |
| G2 2-1 Astralis | 67% G2 | CORRECT |
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Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026
This week (Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. TIER dominated with 79.3% accuracy (23/29 correct), ahead of TIER2 at 79.3%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2231 and Log Loss of 0.639.
TIER had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 23 out of 29 matches.
TIER showed excellent performance with 79.3% accuracy across 29 predictions (23 correct, 6 wrong).


Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

23/29 correct predictions on top-tier matches.