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analysis Eki 26, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W43 → W44, 2026 — STREAK (78.9%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 44 · Oct 19 – Oct 25, 2026

Models ranked

799

Predictions

Matches

78.9%

Best accuracy

0.222

Brier Score

0.6368

Log Loss

This week (Week 44 · Oct 19 – Oct 25, 2026) we analyzed 43 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. STREAK dominated with 78.9% accuracy (15/19 correct), ahead of SOS at 69.7%. STREAK achieved a Brier Score of 0.222 and Log Loss of 0.6368.

🏆 Model of the Week: STREAK

STREAK had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 15 out of 19 matches.

🥇

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

STREAK showed excellent performance with 78.9% accuracy across 19 predictions (15 correct, 4 wrong).

78.9%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W43: 78.9% (19)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STREAK	78.9%	19	15	4
#2	SOS	69.7%	33	23	10
#3	PHANTOM	67.5%	40	27	13
#4	MAJOR	66.7%	27	18	9
#5	XGPRO	66.7%	27	18	9
#6	TIER3	66.7%	24	16	8
#7	MIND	63.6%	33	21	12
#8	TIER	63.0%	27	17	10
#9	APEX	61.9%	42	26	16
#10	TIER2	60.0%	30	18	12
#11	ELOFACE	59.5%	37	22	15
#12	ELOHQ	59.3%	27	16	11
#13	ELO	59.0%	39	23	16
#14	STRONGHOLD	58.3%	12	7	5
#15	VANGUARD	57.9%	19	11	8
#16	ORACLE	56.8%	37	21	16
#17	EAGLE	56.1%	41	23	18
#18	HIGH-ORACLE	55.6%	18	10	8
#19	WR10C	55.0%	40	22	18
#20	SQUAD	53.3%	30	16	14
#21	WR10	51.9%	27	14	13
#22	OPEN	51.4%	35	18	17
#23	NEXUS	50.0%	20	10	10
#24	FORM	47.4%	38	18	20
#25	WR10P	45.7%	35	16	19
#26	TRIBUNAL	42.9%	7	3	4
#27	SURGE	40.6%	32	13	19
#28	SENTINEL	0.0%	3	0	3

🎮 STREAK Predictions This Week

15/19 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Vitality 2-0 The MongolZ	56% Vitality	CORRECT
FUT 2-0 Liquid	55% FUT	CORRECT
G2 Esports 0-2 Natus Vincere	54% Natus Vinc	CORRECT
Legacy 0-2 Nemiga Gaming	57% Nemiga Gam	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 9z Team	59% Vitality	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 9z	59% Vitality	CORRECT
FUT Esports 2-0 TYLOO	54% FUT Esport	CORRECT
Spirit 1-2 BetBoom Team	53% BetBoom Te	CORRECT
Aurora 1-2 The MongolZ	55% The Mongol	CORRECT
FUT 2-0 TYLOO	57% FUT	CORRECT
FaZe 0-2 BC.Game	57% FaZe	WRONG
The MongolZ 2-0 fnatic	58% The Mongol	CORRECT
BIG 0-2 PARIVISION	55% PARIVISION	CORRECT
FaZe 1-2 JiJieHao	53% FaZe	WRONG
magic 0-2 The MongolZ	54% The Mongol	CORRECT
Betclic 2-0 Nemesis	53% Betclic	CORRECT
The MongolZ 0-2 BIG	55% The Mongol	WRONG
Alliance 0-2 PRIVATE	53% PRIVATE	CORRECT
PARIVISION 2-0 magic	57% magic	WRONG

Devamını oku →

analysis Eki 19, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W42 → W43, 2026 — NEXUS (71.4%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 43 · Oct 12 – Oct 18, 2026

Models ranked

1036

Predictions

Matches

71.4%

Best accuracy

0.2248

Brier Score

0.6568

Log Loss

This week (Week 43 · Oct 12 – Oct 18, 2026) we analyzed 63 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 71.4% accuracy (10/14 correct), ahead of SQUAD at 66.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.2248 and Log Loss of 0.6568.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS performed strongly this week with solid accuracy across 14 predictions.

🥇

NEXUS

APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed strong performance with 71.4% accuracy across 14 predictions (10 correct, 4 wrong).

71.4%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W42: 71.4% (14)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	NEXUS	71.4%	14	10	4
#2	SQUAD	66.0%	50	33	17
#3	ELOHQ	65.0%	40	26	14
#4	VANGUARD	64.0%	25	16	9
#5	ELO	61.4%	57	35	22
#6	ELOFACE	60.7%	56	34	22
#7	WR10C	60.3%	58	35	23
#8	HIGH-ORACLE	60.0%	20	12	8
#9	TIER3	60.0%	10	6	4
#10	APEX	59.6%	57	34	23
#11	TIER	58.8%	17	10	7
#12	TIER2	58.8%	17	10	7
#13	PHANTOM	58.5%	53	31	22
#14	ORACLE	57.1%	56	32	24
#15	FORM	56.9%	51	29	22
#16	EAGLE	56.9%	51	29	22
#17	OPEN	52.9%	51	27	24
#18	TRIBUNAL	52.9%	17	9	8
#19	SURGE	52.2%	46	24	22
#20	SOS	51.9%	54	28	26
#21	WR10P	47.8%	23	11	12
#22	STREAK	47.1%	34	16	18
#23	MAJOR	46.7%	45	21	24
#24	WR10	46.2%	26	12	14
#25	XGPRO	45.5%	44	20	24
#26	MIND	42.9%	49	21	28
#27	STRONGHOLD	40.0%	10	4	6
#28	SENTINEL	40.0%	5	2	3

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/14 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
FURIA 3-2 BetBoom	82% FURIA	CORRECT
Falcons 1-2 BetBoom	71% Falcons	WRONG
BetBoom 2-1 Legacy	82% Legacy	WRONG
Aurora 2-0 9z	66% Aurora	CORRECT
MIBR 2-1 BC.Game	75% MIBR	CORRECT
PARIVISION 1-2 BetBoom	85% PARIVISION	WRONG
9z 1-2 Falcons	74% Falcons	CORRECT
MIBR 1-2 BC.Game	75% MIBR	WRONG
Aurora 2-0 Ninjas in Pyjamas	75% Aurora	CORRECT
FURIA 2-0 BetBoom	81% FURIA	CORRECT
Falcons 2-0 Ninjas in Pyjamas	84% Falcons	CORRECT
Phantom 13-3 DNK	70% Phantom	CORRECT
ex-RUSTEC 2-0 The Golden Horde	69% ex-RUSTEC	CORRECT
PRIVATE 1-2 Johnny Speeds	67% Johnny Spe	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eki 12, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W41 → W42, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (76.9%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 42 · Oct 05 – Oct 11, 2026

Models ranked

861

Predictions

Matches

76.9%

Best accuracy

0.1918

Brier Score

0.5745

Log Loss

This week (Week 42 · Oct 05 – Oct 11, 2026) we analyzed 47 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 76.9% accuracy (10/13 correct), ahead of TRIBUNAL at 75.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1918 and Log Loss of 0.5745.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 13 matches.

🥇

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 76.9% accuracy across 13 predictions (10 correct, 3 wrong).

76.9%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W41: 76.9% (13)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STRONGHOLD	76.9%	13	10	3
#2	TRIBUNAL	75.0%	8	6	2
#3	NEXUS	71.4%	21	15	6
#4	MIND	61.5%	39	24	15
#5	HIGH-ORACLE	61.1%	18	11	7
#6	APEX	60.0%	45	27	18
#7	SURGE	60.0%	35	21	14
#8	SOS	59.5%	37	22	15
#9	VANGUARD	58.3%	24	14	10
#10	ORACLE	57.8%	45	26	19
#11	ELOFACE	57.1%	42	24	18
#12	ELO	55.8%	43	24	19
#13	TIER2	55.6%	27	15	12
#14	ELOHQ	55.3%	38	21	17
#15	SQUAD	54.5%	33	18	15
#16	STREAK	54.5%	22	12	10
#17	PHANTOM	53.7%	41	22	19
#18	OPEN	52.5%	40	21	19
#19	WR10C	52.3%	44	23	21
#20	FORM	51.3%	39	20	19
#21	XGPRO	50.0%	30	15	15
#22	MAJOR	50.0%	30	15	15
#23	TIER	50.0%	26	13	13
#24	TIER3	50.0%	14	7	7
#25	EAGLE	47.6%	42	20	22
#26	WR10	44.8%	29	13	16
#27	WR10P	41.7%	36	15	21

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

10/13 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Aurora 2-0 Spirit	71% Spirit	WRONG
FaZe 2-0 NAVI Junior	68% FaZe	CORRECT
Aurora 1-2 Vitality	67% Vitality	CORRECT
FaZe 2-1 NAVI Junior	67% FaZe	CORRECT
FURIA 0-2 MOUZ	62% MOUZ	CORRECT
FURIA 0-2 MOUZ	62% MOUZ	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 PARIVISION	73% Vitality	CORRECT
Spirit 2-0 M80	77% Spirit	CORRECT
FURIA 2-0 9z Team	79% FURIA	CORRECT
Legacy 1-2 M80	67% Legacy	WRONG
Spirit 0-2 1win	79% Spirit	WRONG
Aurora 2-1 BetBoom	75% Aurora	CORRECT
ShindeN 0-2 G2	71% G2	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eki 05, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W40 → W41, 2026 — STREAK (77.8%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026

Models ranked

763

Predictions

Matches

77.8%

Best accuracy

0.2273

Brier Score

0.6474

Log Loss

This week (Week 41 · Sep 28 – Oct 04, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. STREAK dominated with 77.8% accuracy (14/18 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 75.0%. STREAK achieved a Brier Score of 0.2273 and Log Loss of 0.6474.

🏆 Model of the Week: STREAK

STREAK had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 14 out of 18 matches.

🥇

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

STREAK showed excellent performance with 77.8% accuracy across 18 predictions (14 correct, 4 wrong).

77.8%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W40: 77.8% (18)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STREAK	77.8%	18	14	4
#2	TIER3	75.0%	20	15	5
#3	STRONGHOLD	73.3%	15	11	4
#4	MIND	71.0%	31	22	9
#5	SQUAD	70.6%	34	24	10
#6	PHANTOM	70.3%	37	26	11
#7	TIER	69.6%	23	16	7
#8	WR10	66.7%	21	14	7
#9	TIER2	65.5%	29	19	10
#10	ELO	64.9%	37	24	13
#11	MAJOR	64.0%	25	16	9
#12	VANGUARD	64.0%	25	16	9
#13	ELOFACE	63.9%	36	23	13
#14	XGPRO	62.5%	24	15	9
#15	ELOHQ	62.1%	29	18	11
#16	OPEN	61.8%	34	21	13
#17	SOS	61.8%	34	21	13
#18	WR10C	61.5%	39	24	15
#19	FORM	60.0%	35	21	14
#20	NEXUS	60.0%	15	9	6
#21	SENTINEL	60.0%	5	3	2
#22	ORACLE	59.5%	37	22	15
#23	APEX	59.0%	39	23	16
#24	HIGH-ORACLE	58.8%	17	10	7
#25	EAGLE	56.8%	37	21	16
#26	TRIBUNAL	55.6%	9	5	4
#27	WR10P	50.0%	28	14	14
#28	SURGE	40.0%	30	12	18

🎮 STREAK Predictions This Week

14/18 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
BetBoom 2-0 M80	55% BetBoom	CORRECT
G2 1-2 1win	55% 1win	CORRECT
Luminosity 1-2 Astralis	57% Astralis	CORRECT
Falcons 2-0 Aurora	55% Aurora	WRONG
9z 2-0 TYLOO	54% 9z	CORRECT
Spirit 2-1 PARIVISION	55% Spirit	CORRECT
MOUZ 2-0 M80	57% MOUZ	CORRECT
MOUZ 2-0 M80	55% MOUZ	CORRECT
Aurora 2-0 9z	55% Aurora	CORRECT
Spirit 2-1 ShindeN	62% Spirit	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 1win	53% Vitality	CORRECT
Astralis 2-1 BIG	52% Astralis	CORRECT
Legacy 1-2 PARIVISION	56% Legacy	WRONG
Legacy 1-2 PARIVISION	56% Legacy	WRONG
Falcons 2-0 TYLOO	54% Falcons	CORRECT
B8 0-2 Luminosity	55% Luminosity	CORRECT
BET-M 0-2 Nemiga	53% Nemiga	CORRECT
magic 0-2 GamerLegion	57% magic	WRONG

Devamını oku →

analysis Eki 01, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Top Models September → October 2026 — TIER3 leads at 78.4%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · October 2026

Models ranked

4352

Total predictions

256

Matches tracked

78.4%

Best accuracy

Based on September 2026 data, we tracked 256 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models with a total of 4352 predictions. The average model accuracy was 59.1%, with a spread of 32.1% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

TIER3 takes the top spot with 78.4% accuracy, followed by VANGUARD at 71.6% and TIER2 at 68.5%.

🥇

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed excellent performance with 78.4% accuracy across 51 predictions (40 correct, 11 wrong). Best week: W40 at 100.0%, weakest: W39 at 60.0%.

78.4%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W36: 83.3% (12)W37: 78.3% (23)W38: 80.0% (10)W39: 60.0% (5)W40: 100.0% (1)

🥈

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

VANGUARD showed strong performance with 71.6% accuracy across 88 predictions (63 correct, 25 wrong). Best week: W40 at 100.0%, weakest: W39 at 40.0%.

71.6%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W36: 70.8% (24)W37: 74.4% (43)W38: 71.4% (14)W39: 40.0% (5)W40: 100.0% (2)

🥉

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

TIER2 showed strong performance with 68.5% accuracy across 92 predictions (63 correct, 29 wrong). Best week: W38 at 76.9%, weakest: W40 at 50.0%.

68.5%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W36: 69.7% (33)W37: 67.6% (37)W38: 76.9% (13)W39: 57.1% (7)W40: 50.0% (2)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER3	78.4%	51	40	11
#2	VANGUARD	71.6%	88	63	25
#3	TIER2	68.5%	92	63	29
#4	TIER	67.8%	87	59	28
#5	ELOHQ	67.5%	157	106	51
#6	HIGH-ORACLE	66.2%	80	53	27
#7	ORACLE	62.8%	239	150	89
#8	ELOFACE	62.4%	221	138	83
#9	NEXUS	62.2%	74	46	28
#10	APEX	62.1%	232	144	88
#11	ELO	61.6%	232	143	89
#12	STRONGHOLD	60.9%	46	28	18
#13	PHANTOM	60.7%	229	139	90
#14	EAGLE	60.3%	224	135	89
#15	SQUAD	60.3%	214	129	85
#16	TRIBUNAL	60.3%	58	35	23
#17	WR10C	58.9%	246	145	101
#18	SOS	57.7%	201	116	85
#19	FORM	57.0%	207	118	89
#20	SURGE	55.9%	213	119	94
#21	OPEN	54.0%	211	114	97
#22	SENTINEL	50.0%	12	6	6
#23	XGPRO	48.6%	185	90	95
#24	MAJOR	48.6%	185	90	95
#25	WR10	48.2%	114	55	59
#26	WR10P	48.1%	135	65	70
#27	MIND	46.5%	198	92	106
#28	STREAK	46.3%	121	56	65

Devamını oku →

analysis Eyl 28, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W39 → W40, 2026 — TIER (62.5%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 40 · Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026

Models ranked

441

Predictions

Matches

62.5%

Best accuracy

0.2493

Brier Score

0.6918

Log Loss

This week (Week 40 · Sep 21 – Sep 27, 2026) we analyzed 25 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. TIER dominated with 62.5% accuracy (5/8 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 60.0%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2493 and Log Loss of 0.6918.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER

TIER edged out the competition this week, though accuracy across all models was moderate.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed decent performance with 62.5% accuracy across 8 predictions (5 correct, 3 wrong).

62.5%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W39: 62.5% (8)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	62.5%	8	5	3
#2	TIER3	60.0%	5	3	2
#3	PHANTOM	58.3%	24	14	10
#4	TIER2	57.1%	7	4	3
#5	SQUAD	55.0%	20	11	9
#6	APEX	54.2%	24	13	11
#7	EAGLE	52.0%	25	13	12
#8	SURGE	50.0%	22	11	11
#9	STRONGHOLD	50.0%	4	2	2
#10	ORACLE	45.8%	24	11	13
#11	HIGH-ORACLE	45.5%	11	5	6
#12	FORM	43.5%	23	10	13
#13	WR10C	43.5%	23	10	13
#14	ELOFACE	40.9%	22	9	13
#15	ELO	40.9%	22	9	13
#16	SOS	40.0%	20	8	12
#17	NEXUS	40.0%	10	4	6
#18	VANGUARD	40.0%	5	2	3
#19	OPEN	38.1%	21	8	13
#20	ELOHQ	35.7%	14	5	9
#21	XGPRO	33.3%	21	7	14
#22	MAJOR	33.3%	21	7	14
#23	WR10P	33.3%	15	5	10
#24	TRIBUNAL	33.3%	6	2	4
#25	MIND	20.0%	20	4	16
#26	WR10	16.7%	12	2	10
#27	STREAK	16.7%	12	2	10

🎮 TIER Predictions This Week

5/8 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
magic 2-1 GamerLegion	52% magic	CORRECT
magic 2-1 EYEBALLERS	52% magic	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 3DMAX	52% 3DMAX	WRONG
Astralis 2-1 Betclic	53% Astralis	CORRECT
B8 0-2 Luminosity	57% B8	WRONG
HEROIC 2-0 BBL	54% HEROIC	CORRECT
Johnny Speeds 2-0 Virtus.pro	53% Virtus.pro	WRONG
Astralis 2-1 Sangal	53% Astralis	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eyl 21, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W38 → W39, 2026 — HIGH-ORACLE (80.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 39 · Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026

Models ranked

536

Predictions

Matches

80.0%

Best accuracy

0.173

Brier Score

0.5375

Log Loss

This week (Week 39 · Sep 14 – Sep 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. HIGH-ORACLE dominated with 80.0% accuracy (12/15 correct), ahead of NEXUS at 80.0%. HIGH-ORACLE achieved a Brier Score of 0.173 and Log Loss of 0.5375.

🏆 Model of the Week: HIGH-ORACLE

HIGH-ORACLE had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 15 matches.

🥇

HIGH-ORACLE

Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)

HIGH-ORACLE showed excellent performance with 80.0% accuracy across 15 predictions (12 correct, 3 wrong).

80.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W38: 80.0% (15)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	HIGH-ORACLE	80.0%	15	12	3
#2	NEXUS	80.0%	15	12	3
#3	TIER3	80.0%	10	8	2
#4	ELO	77.8%	27	21	6
#5	TIER	76.9%	13	10	3
#6	TIER2	76.9%	13	10	3
#7	ELOFACE	76.0%	25	19	6
#8	ORACLE	74.1%	27	20	7
#9	APEX	71.4%	28	20	8
#10	ELOHQ	71.4%	21	15	6
#11	VANGUARD	71.4%	14	10	4
#12	PHANTOM	69.2%	26	18	8
#13	SQUAD	67.9%	28	19	9
#14	EAGLE	66.7%	24	16	8
#15	SOS	66.7%	24	16	8
#16	SURGE	63.0%	27	17	10
#17	STRONGHOLD	62.5%	8	5	3
#18	WR10C	60.7%	28	17	11
#19	FORM	56.5%	23	13	10
#20	OPEN	52.2%	23	12	11
#21	XGPRO	47.1%	17	8	9
#22	MAJOR	47.1%	17	8	9
#23	MIND	41.7%	24	10	14
#24	TRIBUNAL	40.0%	5	2	3
#25	STREAK	36.4%	11	4	7
#26	WR10	35.3%	17	6	11
#27	WR10P	34.6%	26	9	17

🎮 HIGH-ORACLE Predictions This Week

12/15 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
MIBR 0-2 FURIA	68% FURIA	CORRECT
Aurora 2-1 Vitality	68% Vitality	WRONG
3DMAX 2-1 M80	68% M80	WRONG
MIBR 2-0 NRG	73% MIBR	CORRECT
NRG 0-2 Aurora	72% Aurora	CORRECT
BBL 14-16 3DMAX	73% 3DMAX	CORRECT
Inner Circle 13-6 Liquid	72% Inner Circ	CORRECT
3DMAX 9-13 Inner Circle	74% Inner Circ	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 magic	67% Vitality	CORRECT
M80 13-9 GamerLegion	70% M80	CORRECT
MOUZ 1-2 NRG	82% MOUZ	WRONG
GamerLegion 13-7 Luminosity	71% GamerLegio	CORRECT
B8 13-8 Metizport	70% B8	CORRECT
Imperial 2-1 Bounty Hunters	73% Imperial	CORRECT
paiN 2-0 Turma do Pagode	69% paiN	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eyl 14, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W37 → W38, 2026 — TRIBUNAL (79.2%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 38 · Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026

Models ranked

1789

Predictions

103

Matches

79.2%

Best accuracy

0.2013

Brier Score

0.5943

Log Loss

This week (Week 38 · Sep 07 – Sep 13, 2026) we analyzed 103 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TRIBUNAL dominated with 79.2% accuracy (19/24 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 78.3%. TRIBUNAL achieved a Brier Score of 0.2013 and Log Loss of 0.5943.

🏆 Model of the Week: TRIBUNAL

TRIBUNAL had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 19 out of 24 matches.

🥇

TRIBUNAL

OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction

TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 79.2% accuracy across 24 predictions (19 correct, 5 wrong).

79.2%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W37: 79.2% (24)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TRIBUNAL	79.2%	24	19	5
#2	TIER3	78.3%	23	18	5
#3	VANGUARD	74.4%	43	32	11
#4	HIGH-ORACLE	71.4%	35	25	10
#5	TIER	69.7%	33	23	10
#6	STRONGHOLD	69.6%	23	16	7
#7	ELOHQ	68.7%	67	46	21
#8	TIER2	67.6%	37	25	12
#9	NEXUS	63.6%	33	21	12
#10	SOS	63.5%	85	54	31
#11	ORACLE	63.3%	98	62	36
#12	APEX	61.7%	94	58	36
#13	SQUAD	61.6%	86	53	33
#14	PHANTOM	60.0%	95	57	38
#15	EAGLE	59.8%	92	55	37
#16	ELOFACE	57.8%	90	52	38
#17	WR10C	57.0%	100	57	43
#18	ELO	57.0%	93	53	40
#19	FORM	56.8%	81	46	35
#20	OPEN	53.7%	82	44	38
#21	SURGE	52.3%	86	45	41
#22	XGPRO	52.1%	73	38	35
#23	MAJOR	52.1%	73	38	35
#24	WR10	52.0%	50	26	24
#25	MIND	47.0%	83	39	44
#26	WR10P	46.9%	49	23	26
#27	STREAK	44.6%	56	25	31
#28	SENTINEL	40.0%	5	2	3

🎮 TRIBUNAL Predictions This Week

19/24 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
FlyQuest 0-2 DEPO	58% FlyQuest	WRONG
BetBoom 1-2 G2	62% G2	CORRECT
Voca 2-0 Without a Roof	59% Voca	CORRECT
Without a Roof 2-0 Marsborne	58% Marsborne	WRONG
antivalue 0-2 Voca	61% Voca	CORRECT
B8 2-1 Nuclear TigeRES	59% B8	CORRECT
M80 2-1 6666	63% M80	CORRECT
Back to Back 1-2 Fluxo	60% Fluxo	CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 100 Thieves	56% 100 Thieve	CORRECT
Villainous 0-2 Without a Roof	57% Without a	CORRECT
SINNERS 1-2 Nemiga	57% Nemiga	CORRECT
Galorys 1-2 Back to Back	61% Galorys	WRONG
3DMAX 1-2 BBL	60% 3DMAX	WRONG
DEPO 2-0 Revenge	58% DEPO	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 Inner Circle	59% Inner Circ	CORRECT
FlyQuest 2-0 Finishers	63% FlyQuest	CORRECT
9z 1-2 G2	57% G2	CORRECT
Liquid 2-0 antivalue	61% Liquid	CORRECT
NRG 2-0 Without a Roof	58% NRG	CORRECT
Voca 2-0 Villainous	62% Voca	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 SINNERS	60% Ninjas in	WRONG
FlyQuest 1-0 LFO 8	62% FlyQuest	CORRECT
FlyQuest 2-0 Devious	62% FlyQuest	CORRECT
TYLOO 2-1 The Huns	59% TYLOO	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eyl 07, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W36 → W37, 2026 — TIER3 (85.7%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 37 · Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026

Models ranked

1553

Predictions

Matches

85.7%

Best accuracy

0.234

Brier Score

0.6611

Log Loss

This week (Week 37 · Aug 31 – Sep 06, 2026) we analyzed 96 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TIER3 dominated with 85.7% accuracy (12/14 correct), ahead of ELOHQ at 72.7%. TIER3 achieved a Brier Score of 0.234 and Log Loss of 0.6611.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER3

TIER3 had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 14 matches.

🥇

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed excellent performance with 85.7% accuracy across 14 predictions (12 correct, 2 wrong).

85.7%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W36: 85.7% (14)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER3	85.7%	14	12	2
#2	ELOHQ	72.7%	55	40	15
#3	VANGUARD	72.0%	25	18	7
#4	ELOFACE	69.9%	83	58	25
#5	TIER2	69.4%	36	25	11
#6	ELO	67.0%	88	59	29
#7	TIER	64.7%	34	22	12
#8	WR10C	64.5%	93	60	33
#9	APEX	63.1%	84	53	31
#10	ORACLE	62.9%	89	56	33
#11	STREAK	61.9%	42	26	16
#12	EAGLE	61.7%	81	50	31
#13	SURGE	61.0%	77	47	30
#14	WR10P	60.9%	46	28	18
#15	PHANTOM	60.2%	83	50	33
#16	SENTINEL	60.0%	5	3	2
#17	FORM	59.2%	76	45	31
#18	HIGH-ORACLE	57.9%	19	11	8
#19	OPEN	56.8%	81	46	35
#20	SQUAD	56.4%	78	44	34
#21	WR10	56.2%	32	18	14
#22	TRIBUNAL	54.5%	22	12	10
#23	MIND	54.3%	70	38	32
#24	SOS	53.5%	71	38	33
#25	NEXUS	53.3%	15	8	7
#26	XGPRO	50.0%	72	36	36
#27	MAJOR	50.0%	72	36	36
#28	STRONGHOLD	50.0%	10	5	5

🎮 TIER3 Predictions This Week

12/14 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Spirit 3-1 MOUZ	52% Spirit	CORRECT
B8 2-0 Nuclear TigeRES	52% B8	CORRECT
Falcons 2-0 G2	52% Falcons	CORRECT
TYLOO 1-0 FlyQuest	52% TYLOO	CORRECT
K27 0-2 Eternal Fire	53% Eternal Fi	CORRECT
Nuclear TigeRES 2-0 Eternal Fire	53% Eternal Fi	WRONG
TYLOO 1-0 Rare Atom	54% TYLOO	CORRECT
HOTU 2-0 Nemiga	53% HOTU	CORRECT
Color 1-2 B8	52% B8	CORRECT
MIBR 1-2 Eternal Fire	52% Eternal Fi	CORRECT
Rare Atom 2-0 Lynn Vision	53% Lynn Visio	WRONG
HOTU 2-1 Color	52% HOTU	CORRECT
FUT 0-2 Vitality	52% Vitality	CORRECT
Spirit 2-0 FURIA	52% Spirit	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Eyl 01, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Top Models August → September 2026 — SENTINEL leads at 100.0%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · September 2026

Models ranked

3521

Total predictions

213

Matches tracked

100.0%

Best accuracy

Based on August 2026 data, we tracked 213 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models with a total of 3521 predictions. The average model accuracy was 72.2%, with a spread of 54.2% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

SENTINEL takes the top spot with 100.0% accuracy, followed by VANGUARD at 87.1% and NEXUS at 86.1%.

🥇

SENTINEL

Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

SENTINEL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 17 predictions (17 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W32: 100.0% (13)W33: 100.0% (2)W35: 100.0% (1)W36: 100.0% (1)

🥈

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 87.1% accuracy across 85 predictions (74 correct, 11 wrong). Best week: W36 at 100.0%, weakest: W31 at 75.0%.

87.1%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W31: 75.0% (4)W32: 97.0% (33)W33: 77.3% (22)W34: 75.0% (8)W35: 88.2% (17)W36: 100.0% (1)

🥉

NEXUS

APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 86.1% accuracy across 72 predictions (62 correct, 10 wrong). Best week: W31 at 100.0%, weakest: W36 at 0.0%.

86.1%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W31: 100.0% (2)W32: 96.3% (27)W33: 77.3% (22)W34: 100.0% (6)W35: 78.6% (14)W36: 0.0% (1)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	SENTINEL	100.0%	17	17	0
#2	VANGUARD	87.1%	85	74	11
#3	NEXUS	86.1%	72	62	10
#4	HIGH-ORACLE	85.7%	84	72	12
#5	STRONGHOLD	84.1%	44	37	7
#6	TRIBUNAL	83.7%	43	36	7
#7	ELOHQ	83.1%	124	103	21
#8	ORACLE	77.3%	194	150	44
#9	APEX	77.0%	191	147	44
#10	TIER3	76.6%	64	49	15
#11	PHANTOM	76.2%	189	144	45
#12	TIER	76.1%	88	67	21
#13	EAGLE	75.3%	178	134	44
#14	TIER2	75.3%	93	70	23
#15	ELOFACE	74.9%	179	134	45
#16	ELO	74.1%	185	137	48
#17	SOS	73.4%	173	127	46
#18	WR10C	70.4%	196	138	58
#19	STREAK	66.7%	75	50	25
#20	SQUAD	63.8%	185	118	67
#21	XGPRO	63.6%	129	82	47
#22	MAJOR	63.6%	129	82	47
#23	OPEN	59.6%	146	87	59
#24	FORM	57.5%	160	92	68
#25	WR10P	56.2%	105	59	46
#26	WR10	55.6%	90	50	40
#27	SURGE	53.3%	150	80	70
#28	MIND	45.8%	153	70	83

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 31, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W35 → W36, 2026 — VANGUARD (88.2%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 36 · Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026

Models ranked

629

Predictions

Matches

88.2%

Best accuracy

0.1219

Brier Score

0.4143

Log Loss

This week (Week 36 · Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026) we analyzed 36 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. VANGUARD dominated with 88.2% accuracy (15/17 correct), ahead of ELOHQ at 86.4%. VANGUARD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1219 and Log Loss of 0.4143.

🏆 Model of the Week: VANGUARD

VANGUARD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 15 out of 17 matches.

🥇

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 88.2% accuracy across 17 predictions (15 correct, 2 wrong).

88.2%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W35: 88.2% (17)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	VANGUARD	88.2%	17	15	2
#2	ELOHQ	86.4%	22	19	3
#3	TIER3	84.2%	19	16	3
#4	TIER2	81.8%	22	18	4
#5	TIER	81.0%	21	17	4
#6	HIGH-ORACLE	80.0%	15	12	3
#7	NEXUS	78.6%	14	11	3
#8	ELO	76.7%	30	23	7
#9	ELOFACE	76.7%	30	23	7
#10	ORACLE	75.8%	33	25	8
#11	APEX	75.0%	32	24	8
#12	EAGLE	75.0%	28	21	7
#13	PHANTOM	72.7%	33	24	9
#14	WR10C	71.9%	32	23	9
#15	STRONGHOLD	71.4%	7	5	2
#16	TRIBUNAL	71.4%	7	5	2
#17	FORM	65.5%	29	19	10
#18	WR10P	65.0%	20	13	7
#19	OPEN	64.3%	28	18	10
#20	SOS	62.1%	29	18	11
#21	SURGE	59.3%	27	16	11
#22	XGPRO	59.1%	22	13	9
#23	MAJOR	59.1%	22	13	9
#24	STREAK	58.8%	17	10	7
#25	MIND	57.7%	26	15	11
#26	SQUAD	53.8%	26	14	12
#27	WR10	52.4%	21	11	10

🎮 VANGUARD Predictions This Week

15/17 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Vitality 2-1 Legacy	74% Vitality	CORRECT
Inner Circle 0-2 FUT	71% FUT	CORRECT
Aurora 2-0 M80	76% Aurora	CORRECT
Legacy 1-2 Falcons	77% Falcons	CORRECT
FUT 2-1 Lynn Vision	79% FUT	CORRECT
Inner Circle 0-2 MOUZ	70% MOUZ	CORRECT
Vitality 2-0 9z	73% Vitality	CORRECT
M80 0-2 FURIA	82% FURIA	CORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 paiN	80% Natus Vinc	CORRECT
G2 0-2 Spirit	79% Spirit	CORRECT
Aurora 2-0 DENDELE	75% Aurora	CORRECT
Falcons 2-1 Lynn Vision	88% Falcons	CORRECT
Vitality 0-2 Inner Circle	76% Vitality	WRONG
FURIA 2-0 paiN	81% FURIA	CORRECT
Natus Vincere 1-2 M80	82% Natus Vinc	WRONG
Spirit 2-0 DENDELE	87% Spirit	CORRECT
Nuclear TigeRES 16-13 Spirit Academy	67% Nuclear Ti	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 24, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W34 → W35, 2026 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 35 · Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026

Models ranked

305

Predictions

Matches

100.0%

Best accuracy

0.0817

Brier Score

0.3333

Log Loss

This week (Week 35 · Aug 17 – Aug 23, 2026) we analyzed 17 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (6/6 correct), ahead of STREAK at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0817 and Log Loss of 0.3333.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 6 out of 6 matches.

🥇

NEXUS

APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 6 predictions (6 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W34: 100.0% (6)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	NEXUS	100.0%	6	6	0
#2	STREAK	100.0%	6	6	0
#3	HIGH-ORACLE	100.0%	5	5	0
#4	WR10P	93.3%	15	14	1
#5	XGPRO	87.5%	8	7	1
#6	MAJOR	87.5%	8	7	1
#7	WR10	84.6%	13	11	2
#8	ELOHQ	80.0%	10	8	2
#9	ORACLE	78.6%	14	11	3
#10	TIER3	77.8%	9	7	2
#11	SURGE	76.9%	13	10	3
#12	VANGUARD	75.0%	8	6	2
#13	WR10C	70.6%	17	12	5
#14	TIER	70.0%	10	7	3
#15	ELO	68.8%	16	11	5
#16	ELOFACE	68.8%	16	11	5
#17	MIND	66.7%	12	8	4
#18	APEX	62.5%	16	10	6
#19	TIER2	61.5%	13	8	5
#20	OPEN	61.5%	13	8	5
#21	FORM	61.5%	13	8	5
#22	SOS	60.0%	15	9	6
#23	EAGLE	60.0%	15	9	6
#24	PHANTOM	58.8%	17	10	7
#25	SQUAD	41.2%	17	7	10

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

6/6 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
FaZe 0-2 Vitality	81% Vitality	CORRECT
B8 0-2 Spirit	74% Spirit	CORRECT
Falcons 2-0 The MongolZ	69% Falcons	CORRECT
GamerLegion 1-2 MOUZ	70% MOUZ	CORRECT
FUT 2-1 magic	70% FUT	CORRECT
G2 2-1 Astralis	67% G2	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 17, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W33 → W34, 2026 — TIER (79.3%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026

Models ranked

793

Predictions

Matches

79.3%

Best accuracy

0.2231

Brier Score

0.639

Log Loss

This week (Week 34 · Aug 10 – Aug 16, 2026) we analyzed 40 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. TIER dominated with 79.3% accuracy (23/29 correct), ahead of TIER2 at 79.3%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2231 and Log Loss of 0.639.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER

TIER had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 23 out of 29 matches.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed excellent performance with 79.3% accuracy across 29 predictions (23 correct, 6 wrong).

79.3%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W33: 79.3% (29)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	79.3%	29	23	6
#2	TIER2	79.3%	29	23	6
#3	STRONGHOLD	78.6%	14	11	3
#4	SOS	78.4%	37	29	8
#5	VANGUARD	77.3%	22	17	5
#6	NEXUS	77.3%	22	17	5
#7	PHANTOM	76.9%	39	30	9
#8	HIGH-ORACLE	76.2%	21	16	5
#9	ELOHQ	75.9%	29	22	7
#10	APEX	75.7%	37	28	9
#11	ORACLE	75.7%	37	28	9
#12	TIER3	75.0%	24	18	6
#13	XGPRO	75.0%	24	18	6
#14	MAJOR	75.0%	24	18	6
#15	STREAK	73.7%	19	14	5
#16	ELO	73.0%	37	27	10
#17	ELOFACE	73.0%	37	27	10
#18	EAGLE	70.3%	37	26	11
#19	WR10C	66.7%	39	26	13
#20	TRIBUNAL	66.7%	9	6	3
#21	MIND	65.5%	29	19	10
#22	WR10	64.3%	28	18	10
#23	SQUAD	63.2%	38	24	14
#24	OPEN	57.1%	28	16	12
#25	WR10P	55.3%	38	21	17
#26	FORM	55.2%	29	16	13
#27	SURGE	32.4%	37	12	25

🎮 TIER Predictions This Week

23/29 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Legacy 2-0 MIBR	53% Legacy	CORRECT
Astralis 2-1 Ninjas in Pyjamas	52% Astralis	CORRECT
magic 2-1 9z	53% 9z	WRONG
MOUZ 2-0 PARIVISION	54% MOUZ	CORRECT
The MongolZ 2-0 paiN	53% The Mongol	CORRECT
Lynn Vision 0-2 Vitality	58% Vitality	CORRECT
Spirit 2-1 BIG	60% Spirit	CORRECT
JiJieHao 0-2 Aurora	55% Aurora	CORRECT
Wildcard 1-2 paiN	52% paiN	CORRECT
The MongolZ 1-2 Natus Vincere	53% Natus Vinc	CORRECT
B8 2-1 Vitality	58% Vitality	WRONG
FUT 2-1 MOUZ	53% MOUZ	WRONG
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 BetBoom	54% BetBoom	WRONG
Falcons 2-0 Astralis	56% Falcons	CORRECT
BIG 1-2 G2	55% G2	CORRECT
Aurora 2-0 M80	55% Aurora	CORRECT
Luminosity 0-2 Spirit	62% Spirit	CORRECT
9z 13-3 paiN	53% 9z	CORRECT
Lynn Vision 8-13 MOUZ	56% MOUZ	CORRECT
Vitality 13-4 100 Thieves	57% Vitality	CORRECT
Wildcard 10-13 FURIA	57% FURIA	CORRECT
Natus Vincere 13-9 3DMAX	57% Natus Vinc	CORRECT
Falcons 13-6 K27	59% Falcons	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 5-13 Legacy	54% Legacy	CORRECT
G2 13-11 M80	55% G2	CORRECT
magic 7-13 The MongolZ	52% The Mongol	CORRECT
Spirit 10-13 JiJieHao	59% Spirit	WRONG
BIG 13-9 Aurora	56% Aurora	WRONG
Luminosity 3-13 GamerLegion	54% GamerLegio	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 10, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W32 → W33, 2026 — SENTINEL (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 33 · Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026

Models ranked

1635

Predictions

112

Matches

100.0%

Best accuracy

0.1347

Brier Score

0.4563

Log Loss

This week (Week 33 · Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026) we analyzed 112 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. SENTINEL dominated with 100.0% accuracy (13/13 correct), ahead of VANGUARD at 97.0%. SENTINEL achieved a Brier Score of 0.1347 and Log Loss of 0.4563.

🏆 Model of the Week: SENTINEL

SENTINEL had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 13 out of 13 matches.

🥇

SENTINEL

Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

SENTINEL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 13 predictions (13 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W32: 100.0% (13)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	SENTINEL	100.0%	13	13	0
#2	VANGUARD	97.0%	33	32	1
#3	NEXUS	96.3%	27	26	1
#4	HIGH-ORACLE	92.3%	39	36	3
#5	TRIBUNAL	92.0%	25	23	2
#6	STRONGHOLD	89.5%	19	17	2
#7	ELOHQ	87.5%	56	49	7
#8	APEX	80.6%	98	79	19
#9	PHANTOM	80.4%	92	74	18
#10	EAGLE	80.0%	90	72	18
#11	ORACLE	79.4%	102	81	21
#12	SOS	77.6%	85	66	19
#13	ELOFACE	76.1%	88	67	21
#14	ELO	74.5%	94	70	24
#15	TIER2	73.9%	23	17	6
#16	TIER	72.7%	22	16	6
#17	SQUAD	71.9%	96	69	27
#18	WR10C	71.0%	100	71	29
#19	SURGE	60.6%	66	40	26
#20	OPEN	58.3%	72	42	30
#21	STREAK	58.1%	31	18	13
#22	XGPRO	57.5%	73	42	31
#23	MAJOR	57.5%	73	42	31
#24	TIER3	57.1%	7	4	3
#25	FORM	54.2%	83	45	38
#26	WR10	39.1%	23	9	14
#27	WR10P	33.3%	24	8	16
#28	MIND	32.1%	81	26	55

🎮 SENTINEL Predictions This Week

13/13 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
GenOne 2-0 Galactik rebels	65% GenOne	CORRECT
INFINITE 1-0 Giant Pandas	62% INFINITE	CORRECT
Dark Tigre 0-2 SINNERS	66% SINNERS	CORRECT
Partizan 2-0 Orion Wanderers	64% Partizan	CORRECT
Sangal 2-0 Zeste	65% Sangal	CORRECT
SadFamous 0-1 Eternal Fire	62% Eternal Fi	CORRECT
Liquid 2-0 Dhala	72% Liquid	CORRECT
EYEBALLERS 2-0 REVENIX	60% EYEBALLERS	CORRECT
DENDELE 2-0 SAW	63% DENDELE	CORRECT
QueenConso 0-2 EAC	62% EAC	CORRECT
BIG 2-0 z to forward	61% BIG	CORRECT
HOTU 2-0 Galactik rebels	60% HOTU	CORRECT
HEROIC 2-0 REM	63% HEROIC	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 03, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W31 → W32, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 32 · Jul 27 – Aug 02, 2026

Models ranked

197

Predictions

Matches

100.0%

Best accuracy

0.0819

Brier Score

0.3339

Log Loss

This week (Week 32 · Jul 27 – Aug 02, 2026) we analyzed 10 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 100.0% accuracy (5/5 correct), ahead of TRIBUNAL at 100.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.0819 and Log Loss of 0.3339.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 5 out of 5 matches.

🥇

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 5 predictions (5 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W31: 100.0% (5)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STRONGHOLD	100.0%	5	5	0
#2	TRIBUNAL	100.0%	3	3	0
#3	VANGUARD	85.7%	7	6	1
#4	OPEN	85.7%	7	6	1
#5	NEXUS	83.3%	6	5	1
#6	TIER	83.3%	6	5	1
#7	APEX	80.0%	10	8	2
#8	ORACLE	80.0%	10	8	2
#9	HIGH-ORACLE	80.0%	5	4	1
#10	TIER3	80.0%	5	4	1
#11	XGPRO	80.0%	5	4	1
#12	MAJOR	80.0%	5	4	1
#13	FORM	77.8%	9	7	2
#14	SOS	77.8%	9	7	2
#15	WR10C	77.8%	9	7	2
#16	PHANTOM	77.8%	9	7	2
#17	ELO	77.8%	9	7	2
#18	ELOFACE	77.8%	9	7	2
#19	ELOHQ	75.0%	8	6	2
#20	STREAK	75.0%	4	3	1
#21	TIER2	71.4%	7	5	2
#22	EAGLE	70.0%	10	7	3
#23	SQUAD	66.7%	9	6	3
#24	MIND	50.0%	8	4	4
#25	WR10	42.9%	7	3	4
#26	WR10P	42.9%	7	3	4
#27	SURGE	22.2%	9	2	7

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

5/5 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
Liquid 2-1 Betclic	65% Liquid	CORRECT
FaZe 1-2 Spirit	75% Spirit	CORRECT
3DMAX 1-2 MOUZ	74% MOUZ	CORRECT
Virtus.pro 2-1 BAKS	68% Virtus.pro	CORRECT
Liquid 0-2 Spirit	77% Spirit	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Ağu 01, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Top Models July → August 2026 — TRIBUNAL leads at 77.3%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · August 2026

Models ranked

2362

Total predictions

135

Matches tracked

77.3%

Best accuracy

Based on July 2026 data, we tracked 135 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models with a total of 2362 predictions. The average model accuracy was 61.3%, with a spread of 34.6% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

TRIBUNAL takes the top spot with 77.3% accuracy, followed by STRONGHOLD at 73.0% and SENTINEL at 70.0%.

🥇

TRIBUNAL

OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction

TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 77.3% accuracy across 22 predictions (17 correct, 5 wrong). Best week: W28 at 100.0%, weakest: W30 at 42.9%.

77.3%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W27: 83.3% (6)W28: 100.0% (7)W30: 42.9% (7)W31: 100.0% (2)

🥈

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed strong performance with 73.0% accuracy across 37 predictions (27 correct, 10 wrong). Best week: W31 at 100.0%, weakest: W30 at 55.6%.

73.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W27: 83.3% (6)W28: 90.0% (10)W30: 55.6% (18)W31: 100.0% (3)

🥉

SENTINEL

Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

SENTINEL showed strong performance with 70.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (7 correct, 3 wrong). Best week: W28 at 80.0%, weakest: W27 at 0.0%.

70.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W27: 0.0% (1)W28: 80.0% (5)W30: 75.0% (4)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TRIBUNAL	77.3%	22	17	5
#2	STRONGHOLD	73.0%	37	27	10
#3	SENTINEL	70.0%	10	7	3
#4	NEXUS	68.3%	60	41	19
#5	PHANTOM	68.0%	125	85	40
#6	VANGUARD	67.4%	43	29	14
#7	ORACLE	66.1%	118	78	40
#8	HIGH-ORACLE	66.1%	56	37	19
#9	EAGLE	65.9%	123	81	42
#10	TIER3	65.8%	38	25	13
#11	ELOHQ	65.7%	67	44	23
#12	ELOFACE	64.8%	105	68	37
#13	TIER	64.8%	54	35	19
#14	ELO	63.7%	113	72	41
#15	TIER2	62.5%	64	40	24
#16	APEX	62.3%	122	76	46
#17	SOS	61.8%	110	68	42
#18	WR10C	60.8%	125	76	49
#19	XGPRO	60.2%	93	56	37
#20	MAJOR	60.2%	93	56	37
#21	MIND	55.6%	117	65	52
#22	SQUAD	54.5%	110	60	50
#23	STREAK	53.8%	65	35	30
#24	OPEN	51.5%	103	53	50
#25	FORM	51.0%	104	53	51
#26	WR10	49.4%	77	38	39
#27	WR10P	44.0%	91	40	51
#28	SURGE	42.7%	117	50	67

Devamını oku →

analysis Tem 27, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W30 → W31, 2026 — TIER3 (68.4%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 31 · Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026

Models ranked

807

Predictions

Matches

68.4%

Best accuracy

0.2398

Brier Score

0.6728

Log Loss

This week (Week 31 · Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026) we analyzed 41 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TIER3 dominated with 68.4% accuracy (13/19 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 68.4%. TIER3 achieved a Brier Score of 0.2398 and Log Loss of 0.6728.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER3

TIER3 performed strongly this week with solid accuracy across 19 predictions.

🥇

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed strong performance with 68.4% accuracy across 19 predictions (13 correct, 6 wrong).

68.4%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W30: 68.4% (19)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	SENTINEL	75.0%	4	3	1
#2	TIER3	68.4%	19	13	6
#3	EAGLE	67.6%	37	25	12
#4	PHANTOM	66.7%	39	26	13
#5	ORACLE	65.8%	38	25	13
#6	TIER	65.2%	23	15	8
#7	SOS	64.9%	37	24	13
#8	TIER2	61.5%	26	16	10
#9	NEXUS	61.5%	26	16	10
#10	APEX	60.0%	40	24	16
#11	HIGH-ORACLE	57.7%	26	15	11
#12	ELOHQ	56.7%	30	17	13
#13	STRONGHOLD	55.6%	18	10	8
#14	ELO	54.1%	37	20	17
#15	ELOFACE	52.8%	36	19	17
#16	WR10C	52.6%	38	20	18
#17	XGPRO	51.7%	29	15	14
#18	MAJOR	51.7%	29	15	14
#19	SQUAD	51.5%	33	17	16
#20	MIND	50.0%	36	18	18
#21	VANGUARD	50.0%	20	10	10
#22	STREAK	45.0%	20	9	11
#23	TRIBUNAL	42.9%	7	3	4
#24	OPEN	41.9%	31	13	18
#25	FORM	36.4%	33	12	21
#26	WR10P	33.3%	33	11	22
#27	WR10	33.3%	27	9	18
#28	SURGE	31.4%	35	11	24

🎮 TIER3 Predictions This Week

13/19 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
100 Thieves 1-2 Spirit	55% Spirit	CORRECT
Wildcard 0-2 The MongolZ	54% The Mongol	CORRECT
3DMAX 2-0 FUT	53% FUT	WRONG
FOKUS 0-2 MOUZ	54% MOUZ	CORRECT
Aurora 2-0 Echo	54% Aurora	CORRECT
Liquid 2-0 G2	54% G2	WRONG
DENDELE 2-1 FURIA	55% FURIA	WRONG
Liquid 2-0 Vitality	57% Vitality	WRONG
HEROIC 1-2 The MongolZ	52% The Mongol	CORRECT
SINNERS 1-2 FUT	54% FUT	CORRECT
FOKUS 2-1 Aurora	54% Aurora	WRONG
OG 1-2 Spirit	57% Spirit	CORRECT
100 Thieves 2-1 Falcons	55% Falcons	WRONG
Aurora 2-1 Nemesis	54% Aurora	CORRECT
Nemiga 1-2 G2	54% G2	CORRECT
Aurora 2-1 K27	54% Aurora	CORRECT
Nemesis 1-2 Astralis	52% Astralis	CORRECT
Nuclear TigeRES 0-2 MOUZ	54% MOUZ	CORRECT
Astralis 2-1 FOKUS	52% Astralis	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Tem 20, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W29 → W30, 2026 — SQUAD (63.6%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 30 · Jul 13 – Jul 19, 2026

Models ranked

216

Predictions

Matches

63.6%

Best accuracy

0.2753

Brier Score

0.7836

Log Loss

This week (Week 30 · Jul 13 – Jul 19, 2026) we analyzed 20 top-tier CS2 matches across 20 prediction models. SQUAD dominated with 63.6% accuracy (7/11 correct), ahead of SQUAD at 63.6%. SQUAD achieved a Brier Score of 0.2753 and Log Loss of 0.7836.

🏆 Model of the Week: SQUAD

SQUAD edged out the competition this week, though accuracy across all models was moderate.

🥇

SQUAD

Player ratings

SQUAD showed decent performance with 63.6% accuracy across 11 predictions (7 correct, 4 wrong).

63.6%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W29: 63.6% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	WR10P	66.7%	3	2	1
#2	SQUAD	63.6%	11	7	4
#3	XGPRO	60.0%	10	6	4
#4	MAJOR	60.0%	10	6	4
#5	PHANTOM	56.2%	16	9	7
#6	EAGLE	56.2%	16	9	7
#7	WR10C	50.0%	18	9	9
#8	FORM	50.0%	12	6	6
#9	WR10	50.0%	4	2	2
#10	OPEN	46.2%	13	6	7
#11	APEX	46.2%	13	6	7
#12	ELO	42.9%	14	6	8
#13	MIND	42.9%	14	6	8
#14	ELOFACE	40.0%	10	4	6
#15	ELOHQ	40.0%	5	2	3
#16	ORACLE	38.5%	13	5	8
#17	SURGE	33.3%	12	4	8
#18	TIER2	33.3%	3	1	2
#19	STREAK	28.6%	7	2	5
#20	SOS	25.0%	12	3	9

🎮 SQUAD Predictions This Week

7/11 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
United Kingdom 2-0 Belgium	86% Belgium	WRONG
HEROIC 3-0 K27	61% HEROIC	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 K27	72% K27	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1-2 HEROIC	80% HEROIC	CORRECT
K27 2-0 Phantom	87% K27	CORRECT
Imperial 1-2 Fluxo	69% Imperial	WRONG
paiN 1-2 Phantom	87% paiN	WRONG
Wildcard 0-2 Gentle Mates	78% Gentle Mat	CORRECT
3DMAX 1-2 HEROIC	61% HEROIC	CORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 K27	72% K27	WRONG
fnatic 2-0 SPARTA	77% fnatic	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Tem 13, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W28 → W29, 2026 — TRIBUNAL (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 29 · Jul 06 – Jul 12, 2026

Models ranked

600

Predictions

Matches

100.0%

Best accuracy

0.1544

Brier Score

0.4987

Log Loss

This week (Week 29 · Jul 06 – Jul 12, 2026) we analyzed 35 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. TRIBUNAL dominated with 100.0% accuracy (7/7 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 90.0%. TRIBUNAL achieved a Brier Score of 0.1544 and Log Loss of 0.4987.

🏆 Model of the Week: TRIBUNAL

TRIBUNAL had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 7 out of 7 matches.

🥇

TRIBUNAL

OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction

TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 7 predictions (7 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W28: 100.0% (7)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TRIBUNAL	100.0%	7	7	0
#2	STRONGHOLD	90.0%	10	9	1
#3	VANGUARD	85.7%	7	6	1
#4	HIGH-ORACLE	81.2%	16	13	3
#5	NEXUS	81.2%	16	13	3
#6	SENTINEL	80.0%	5	4	1
#7	EAGLE	77.4%	31	24	7
#8	PHANTOM	75.8%	33	25	8
#9	ORACLE	75.8%	33	25	8
#10	SOS	75.0%	28	21	7
#11	ELOHQ	75.0%	16	12	4
#12	ELOFACE	73.1%	26	19	7
#13	XGPRO	69.2%	26	18	8
#14	MAJOR	69.2%	26	18	8
#15	ELO	69.0%	29	20	9
#16	APEX	67.7%	31	21	10
#17	STREAK	66.7%	15	10	5
#18	TIER2	66.7%	12	8	4
#19	TIER	63.6%	11	7	4
#20	MIND	61.3%	31	19	12
#21	TIER3	60.0%	5	3	2
#22	WR10C	56.2%	32	18	14
#23	SQUAD	53.1%	32	17	15
#24	FORM	48.0%	25	12	13
#25	OPEN	45.8%	24	11	13
#26	SURGE	45.5%	33	15	18
#27	WR10	42.1%	19	8	11
#28	WR10P	28.6%	21	6	15

🎮 TRIBUNAL Predictions This Week

7/7 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
The Huns 0-2 TYLOO	62% TYLOO	CORRECT
M80 2-0 LAG	63% M80	CORRECT
5star 2-1 Alter Ego	58% 5star	CORRECT
TYLOO 2-0 The MongolZ Academy	63% TYLOO	CORRECT
BESTIA 2-0 Fluxo	59% BESTIA	CORRECT
Voca 2-0 NuTorious	58% Voca	CORRECT
magic 2-1 EAC	64% magic	CORRECT

Devamını oku →

analysis Tem 06, 2026 cs2predict tarafından

Model of the Week W27 → W28, 2026 — VANGUARD (90.9%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 28 · Jun 29 – Jul 05, 2026

Models ranked

627

Predictions

Matches

90.9%

Best accuracy

0.1065

Brier Score

0.3789

Log Loss

This week (Week 28 · Jun 29 – Jul 05, 2026) we analyzed 34 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. VANGUARD dominated with 90.9% accuracy (10/11 correct), ahead of ELOHQ at 84.6%. VANGUARD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1065 and Log Loss of 0.3789.

🏆 Model of the Week: VANGUARD

VANGUARD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 11 matches.

🥇

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 90.9% accuracy across 11 predictions (10 correct, 1 wrong).

90.9%

Accuracy

Predictions

Correct

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W27: 90.9% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	VANGUARD	90.9%	11	10	1
#2	ELOHQ	84.6%	13	11	2
#3	STRONGHOLD	83.3%	6	5	1
#4	TRIBUNAL	83.3%	6	5	1
#5	ELO	79.3%	29	23	6
#6	ELOFACE	79.3%	29	23	6
#7	WR10C	78.8%	33	26	7
#8	NEXUS	75.0%	12	9	3
#9	WR10	70.8%	24	17	7
#10	HIGH-ORACLE	70.0%	10	7	3
#11	FORM	66.7%	30	20	10
#12	ORACLE	65.5%	29	19	10
#13	PHANTOM	63.6%	33	21	12
#14	TIER3	63.6%	11	7	4
#15	TIER2	63.2%	19	12	7
#16	OPEN	62.5%	32	20	12
#17	APEX	62.5%	32	20	12
#18	TIER	62.5%	16	10	6
#19	MIND	61.3%	31	19	12
#20	WR10P	61.3%	31	19	12
#21	SURGE	59.4%	32	19	13
#22	SOS	58.6%	29	17	12
#23	XGPRO	58.3%	24	14	10
#24	MAJOR	58.3%	24	14	10
#25	STREAK	57.9%	19	11	8
#26	EAGLE	57.6%	33	19	14
#27	SQUAD	51.7%	29	15	14

🎮 VANGUARD Predictions This Week

10/11 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCH	PREDICTION	RESULT
MIBR 0-2 9z	74% 9z	CORRECT
EYEBALLERS 1-2 Nemesis	74% Nemesis	CORRECT
FaZe 2-0 SINNERS	66% FaZe	CORRECT
3DMAX 9-13 9z	79% 9z	CORRECT
Luminosity 1-2 Ninjas in Pyjamas	77% Ninjas in	CORRECT
9z 13-5 SINNERS	79% 9z	CORRECT
BetBoom 13-11 BIG	72% BetBoom	CORRECT
Luminosity 8-13 Lynn Vision	78% Lynn Visio	CORRECT
BetBoom 13-4 SINNERS	78% BetBoom	CORRECT
Luminosity 10-13 Nemesis	87% Nemesis	CORRECT
9z 10-13 EYEBALLERS	76% 9z	WRONG

Devamını oku →

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