EAGLE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
EAGLE · Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
🎯 EAGLE's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using EAGLE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
paiN
HLTV #19
💀 0-3
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 2
TYLOO
HLTV #21
⚡ 3
BIG
unranked
⚡ 4
FlyQuest
unranked
⚡ 5
9z
HLTV #17
⚡ 6
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ 7
Astralis
HLTV #10
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by EAGLE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
paiN
#19
|
0.216 | 0.438 | 0.049 | 0.347 | 3-0 PICK |
|
B8
#20
|
0.180 | 0.461 | 0.076 | 0.359 | ADVANCE |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.153 | 0.442 | 0.082 | 0.405 | ADVANCE |
|
9z
#17
|
0.146 | 0.420 | 0.102 | 0.434 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.141 | 0.406 | 0.093 | 0.453 | ADVANCE |
|
BIG
|
0.140 | 0.430 | 0.087 | 0.431 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.138 | 0.410 | 0.105 | 0.452 | ADVANCE |
|
FlyQuest
|
0.129 | 0.428 | 0.094 | 0.443 | ADVANCE |
G2
#12
|
0.128 | 0.399 | 0.109 | 0.473 | — |
M80
|
0.127 | 0.401 | 0.099 | 0.472 | — |
FUT
#13
|
0.119 | 0.367 | 0.125 | 0.514 | — |
Legacy
#14
|
0.107 | 0.315 | 0.135 | 0.578 | — |
Spirit
#9
|
0.106 | 0.362 | 0.137 | 0.532 | — |
Monte
#23
|
0.099 | 0.361 | 0.129 | 0.540 | — |
MIBR
|
0.052 | 0.235 | 0.213 | 0.713 | — |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.020 | 0.126 | 0.366 | 0.854 | 0-3 PICK |
How EAGLE predicts
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
For the Pickem Challenge, EAGLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by EAGLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, EAGLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by EAGLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.