FORM — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
FORM · Win rate last 10 matches
🎯 FORM's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using FORM's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
💀 0-3
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 2
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 3
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 4
FUT
HLTV #13
⚡ 5
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 6
G2
HLTV #12
⚡ 7
paiN
HLTV #19
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by FORM's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.342 | 0.521 | 0.022 | 0.137 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.228 | 0.482 | 0.050 | 0.290 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.209 | 0.505 | 0.054 | 0.287 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.187 | 0.482 | 0.061 | 0.331 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.159 | 0.509 | 0.070 | 0.332 | ADVANCE |
|
G2
#12
|
0.148 | 0.436 | 0.076 | 0.416 | ADVANCE |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.139 | 0.445 | 0.084 | 0.416 | ADVANCE |
|
paiN
#19
|
0.103 | 0.424 | 0.113 | 0.473 | ADVANCE |
FlyQuest
|
0.082 | 0.303 | 0.139 | 0.615 | — |
MIBR
|
0.077 | 0.328 | 0.159 | 0.596 | — |
M80
|
0.062 | 0.292 | 0.182 | 0.646 | — |
BIG
|
0.061 | 0.259 | 0.164 | 0.680 | — |
B8
#20
|
0.054 | 0.279 | 0.184 | 0.667 | — |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.051 | 0.250 | 0.212 | 0.699 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.050 | 0.237 | 0.211 | 0.713 | — |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.049 | 0.249 | 0.220 | 0.702 | 0-3 PICK |
How FORM predicts
Win rate last 10 matches
For the Pickem Challenge, FORM ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by FORM's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, FORM ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by FORM's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.