PRO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
XGPRO · Rank + H2H for top matches
🎯 PRO's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using PRO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
G2
HLTV #12
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
paiN
HLTV #19
⚡ 2
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 3
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 4
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 5
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 6
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 7
FUT
HLTV #13
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by PRO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
G2
#12
|
0.180 | 0.436 | 0.081 | 0.384 | 3-0 PICK |
|
paiN
#19
|
0.172 | 0.428 | 0.091 | 0.401 | ADVANCE |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.166 | 0.414 | 0.094 | 0.420 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.158 | 0.413 | 0.091 | 0.429 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.150 | 0.423 | 0.089 | 0.427 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.140 | 0.393 | 0.104 | 0.467 | ADVANCE |
9z
#17
|
0.136 | 0.381 | 0.107 | 0.483 | — |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.133 | 0.403 | 0.105 | 0.465 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.127 | 0.420 | 0.108 | 0.453 | ADVANCE |
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.117 | 0.376 | 0.135 | 0.507 | — |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.114 | 0.366 | 0.126 | 0.519 | — |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.111 | 0.393 | 0.126 | 0.496 | — |
MIBR
|
0.080 | 0.311 | 0.169 | 0.609 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.077 | 0.299 | 0.182 | 0.624 | — |
M80
|
0.075 | 0.279 | 0.188 | 0.647 | — |
|
BIG
|
0.065 | 0.265 | 0.206 | 0.670 | 0-3 PICK |
How PRO predicts
Rank + H2H for top matches
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.