SENTINEL — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
SENTINEL · Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
🎯 SENTINEL's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using SENTINEL's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
paiN
HLTV #19
💀 0-3
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
G2
HLTV #12
⚡ 2
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 3
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 4
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 5
TYLOO
HLTV #21
⚡ 6
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 7
9z
HLTV #17
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by SENTINEL's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
paiN
#19
|
0.260 | 0.494 | 0.026 | 0.246 | 3-0 PICK |
|
B8
#20
|
0.227 | 0.501 | 0.037 | 0.272 | ADVANCE |
|
G2
#12
|
0.217 | 0.544 | 0.039 | 0.239 | ADVANCE |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.212 | 0.493 | 0.036 | 0.295 | ADVANCE |
|
9z
#17
|
0.191 | 0.470 | 0.044 | 0.339 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.186 | 0.483 | 0.042 | 0.331 | ADVANCE |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.140 | 0.477 | 0.073 | 0.383 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.128 | 0.472 | 0.073 | 0.400 | ADVANCE |
FUT
#13
|
0.121 | 0.396 | 0.082 | 0.483 | — |
Monte
#23
|
0.113 | 0.409 | 0.090 | 0.478 | — |
M80
|
0.046 | 0.217 | 0.209 | 0.738 | — |
MIBR
|
0.039 | 0.237 | 0.214 | 0.724 | — |
BIG
|
0.038 | 0.215 | 0.228 | 0.747 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.035 | 0.226 | 0.228 | 0.739 | — |
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.031 | 0.247 | 0.228 | 0.722 | — |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.017 | 0.119 | 0.350 | 0.864 | 0-3 PICK |
How SENTINEL predicts
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
For the Pickem Challenge, SENTINEL ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by SENTINEL's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, SENTINEL ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by SENTINEL's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.